SC Corinthians SP vs EC Vitoria BA
Match details. Brasileiro Serie A, Regular Season - 31. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time. It is played at Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo. The referee is Savio Pereira Sampaio.
What's at stake. SC Corinthians SP are 16th on 32 points after 30 games, 3 points behind Vasco DA Gama, level on points with Internacional. A win would take them level on points with Vasco DA Gama. EC Vitoria BA are 13th on 36 points after 30 games, 3 points behind Coritiba, level on points with Mirassol. A win would take them level on points with Coritiba.
Team news. SC Corinthians SP are without M. Depay (yellow cards), Kayke (knee injury), Z. Labyad (knee injury), M. Depay (yellow cards), Kayke (knee injury), Z. Labyad (knee injury). EC Vitoria BA are without Baralhas (broken leg), Caca (yellow cards), Camutanga (broken leg), Dudu (back injury), Edu (achilles tendon injury), Fabiano (knee injury).
Form. SC Corinthians SP have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. In this competition SC Corinthians SP have gone L L L L L L. EC Vitoria BA have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D W. In this competition EC Vitoria BA have gone L W L D W L.
The numbers. SC Corinthians SP score 0.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. SC Corinthians SP average 15.9 shots (4.4 on target), 7.0 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. EC Vitoria BA score 1.1 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. EC Vitoria BA average 16.4 shots (4.9 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 43% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings SC Corinthians SP have won four, drawn five and lost one. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, SC Corinthians SP won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 18 Apr 2026, it finished SC Corinthians SP 0-0 EC Vitoria BA: SC Corinthians SP had 7 shots to 13, 46% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. EC Vitoria BA are the form side, but the meetings favour SC Corinthians SP: in the last ten meetings, SC Corinthians SP won four, EC Vitoria BA won one and five were drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: SC Corinthians SP 1-1 EC Vitoria BA (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).