Match details. Premium Liiga, Regular Season - 31. Kick-off is Wed 14 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Narva Kalev-Fama staadion. The referee is K. Kaivoja.
What's at stake. JK Narva Trans are 10th on 20 points after 30 games, 8 points behind Nõmme United. FC Kuressaare are 8th on 32 points after 30 games, 4 points behind Vaprus, 4 points clear of Nõmme United. FC Kuressaare have nothing left to play for.
Form. JK Narva Trans have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D L. In this competition JK Narva Trans have gone D D L D L L. FC Kuressaare have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L W. In this competition FC Kuressaare have gone W D L L W D.
The numbers. JK Narva Trans score 0.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. JK Narva Trans average 4.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game. FC Kuressaare score 0.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. FC Kuressaare average 5.4 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings JK Narva Trans have won one, drawn two and lost five. Four of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, two were drawn and FC Kuressaare won two. The last time they met, on 5 Sep 2026, it finished JK Narva Trans 1-3 FC Kuressaare.
The read. No side to back. A draw is live. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.40, 72% on the records (JK Narva Trans: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; FC Kuressaare: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); FC Kuressaare or Under 2.5 Goals (no side to back); FC Kuressaare Over 0.5 goals (FC Kuressaare's own games don't back it (1 of 5)). Predicted score: JK Narva Trans 1-1 FC Kuressaare (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).