Match details. USL League One, Group Stage. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 03:30 Lagos time. It is played at Lancaster Municipal Stadium.
What's at stake. Av Alta FC are 13th on 32 points after 29 games, 1 point behind Sarasota Paradise, 1 point clear of Portland Hearts of Pine. A win would take them above Sarasota Paradise. Greenville Triumph SC are 16th on 23 points after 28 games, 2 points behind NY Cosmos, level on points with Richmond Kickers. A win would take them above NY Cosmos. Av Alta FC have nothing left to play for. Greenville Triumph SC have nothing left to play for.
Form. Av Alta FC have won one, drawn none and lost nine of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. In this competition Av Alta FC have gone L L L L L L. Greenville Triumph SC have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. In this competition Greenville Triumph SC have gone L L L L L L.
The numbers. Av Alta FC score 0.9 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Av Alta FC average 4.1 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Greenville Triumph SC score 0.6 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Greenville Triumph SC average 4.6 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Av Alta FC have won one, drawn two and lost none. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 20 Jun 2026, it finished Av Alta FC 2-1 Greenville Triumph SC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%; two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Av Alta FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Greenville Triumph SC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: Av Alta FC or Greenville Triumph SC (no result call). Predicted score: Av Alta FC 1-1 Greenville Triumph SC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).