Apollon Kalamarias vs Pas Pyrgos

Match details. Super League 2. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.

Form. Apollon Kalamarias have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L D. Pas Pyrgos have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L D.

The numbers. Apollon Kalamarias score 0.9 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. Apollon Kalamarias average 3.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Pas Pyrgos score 0.5 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Pas Pyrgos average 3.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 55% against the records' 30%.

The read. No firm call: Apollon Kalamarias are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Apollon Kalamarias the likelier winners; Apollon Kalamarias are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 20%.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.20, 75% on the records (Apollon Kalamarias: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5; Pas Pyrgos: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Pas Pyrgos or Under 2.5 Goals (the call backs Apollon Kalamarias); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Apollon Kalamarias 1-1 Pas Pyrgos (13% chance).