La Tribu de Ciudad Juarez vs Santiago FC
Match details. Liga Premier Serie A, Apertura - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 01:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. La Tribu de Ciudad Juarez are 1st on 13 points after 6 games. Santiago FC are 8th on 7 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Calor de San Pedro. A win would take them above Calor de San Pedro.
Form. La Tribu de Ciudad Juarez have won four, drawn none and lost two of their last six, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W. Santiago FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L W.
The numbers. La Tribu de Ciudad Juarez score 2.5 and concede 1.3 a game over their last six, with one clean sheet. La Tribu de Ciudad Juarez average 8.0 shots (4.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Santiago FC score 1.3 and concede one a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Santiago FC average 11.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 77% against the records' 57%.
The read. No firm call: La Tribu de Ciudad Juarez are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. La Tribu de Ciudad Juarez are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour La Tribu de Ciudad Juarez. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Santiago FC Over 0.5 goals (Santiago FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); La Tribu de Ciudad Juarez to Win (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: La Tribu de Ciudad Juarez 2-1 Santiago FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).