Varegg vs Stord FK
Match details. 3. Division, Group 3, Regular Season - 23. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Varegg are 10th on 23 points after 22 games, 4 points behind Sogndal II, 2 points clear of Stord. Stord FK are 11th on 21 points after 22 games, 2 points behind Varegg, 2 points clear of Åsane II. A win would take them above Varegg. Varegg have nothing left to play for. Stord FK have nothing left to play for.
Form. Varegg have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W D. In this competition Varegg have gone W W D W D L. Stord FK have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D L. In this competition Stord FK have gone L W L D L D.
The numbers. Varegg score 2.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Varegg average 3.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Stord FK score 1.8 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Stord FK average 1.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 20 Jun 2026, it finished Varegg 1-1 Stord FK.
The case against. Stord FK's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. Varegg to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Varegg the likelier winners; Varegg are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 75%.
The bets. Best bet: Varegg or Draw at 1.22, 79% on the records (Varegg unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home; Stord FK failed to win 4 of 5 away). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Varegg Over 1.5 Goals (Stord FK's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Varegg 2-1 Stord FK (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).