Match details. 2nd Division Group 2, Regular Season - 23. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time. It is played at Grefsen Stadion, Oslo.
What's at stake. Kjelsaas are 2nd on 47 points after 22 games, 7 points behind Eidsvold, 2 points clear of Levanger. Rana FK are 10th on 30 points after 22 games, 1 point behind Junkeren, 10 points clear of Skeid. A win would take them above Junkeren. Rana FK have nothing left to play for, while Kjelsaas need the win.
Form. Kjelsaas have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W L. In this competition Kjelsaas have gone W D L W L W. Rana FK have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L L. In this competition Rana FK have gone W W L L L W.
The numbers. Kjelsaas score 2.4 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Kjelsaas average 3.5 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Rana FK score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Rana FK average 1.6 corners and 0.6 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Kjelsaas have won two, drawn one and lost none. Three of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 26 Jul 2026, it finished Kjelsaas 3-2 Rana FK.
The case against. Rana FK's record still gives them 34% to win.
The read. Kjelsaas to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Kjelsaas the likelier winners; Kjelsaas are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Kjelsaas; the meetings favour Kjelsaas. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 74%. Three of the last three meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Kjelsaas Over 1.5 goals (Rana FK's own games don't back it (3 of 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Kjelsaas 2-1 Rana FK (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).