Match details. 2. Lig. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. Aliaga Futbol have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W. Menemen Belediyespor have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L.
The numbers. Aliaga Futbol score two and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Aliaga Futbol average 9.3 shots (4.5 on target), 4.7 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Menemen Belediyespor score 1.2 and concede three a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Menemen Belediyespor average 7.8 shots (3.0 on target), 3.6 corners and 3.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 77% against the records' 55%.
The read. No firm call: Aliaga Futbol are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Aliaga Futbol the likelier winners; Aliaga Futbol are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Aliaga Futbol. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Aliaga Futbol Win & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Menemen Belediyespor Over 0.5 goals (Menemen Belediyespor's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Aliaga Futbol 2-1 Menemen Belediyespor (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Aliaga Futbol or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALI 5 of 5 (100%) · MEN 4 of 5 (80%)90%
Aliaga Futbol: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Menemen Belediyespor: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Aliaga Futbol: only games against sides at Menemen Belediyespor's level · Menemen Belediyespor: only games against sides at Aliaga Futbol's level
Aliaga Futbol or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALI 5 of 5 (100%) · MEN 6 of 6 (100%)83.3%
Aliaga Futbol scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Menemen Belediyespor trailed or failed to win in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Aliaga Futbol: only games against sides at Menemen Belediyespor's level · Menemen Belediyespor: only games against sides at Aliaga Futbol's level
Aliaga Futbol or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALI 4 of 5 (80%) · MEN 4 of 5 (80%)78.3%
Aliaga Futbol: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Menemen Belediyespor: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Aliaga Futbol: only games against sides at Menemen Belediyespor's level · Menemen Belediyespor: only games against sides at Aliaga Futbol's level
Aliaga Futbol or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALI 4 of 5 (80%) · MEN 4 of 5 (80%)75%
Aliaga Futbol: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Menemen Belediyespor: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · Aliaga Futbol: only games against sides at Menemen Belediyespor's level · Menemen Belediyespor: only games against sides at Aliaga Futbol's level
Aliaga Futbol or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALI 4 of 5 (80%) · MEN 3 of 5 (60%)65%
Aliaga Futbol: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Menemen Belediyespor: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · Aliaga Futbol: only games against sides at Menemen Belediyespor's level · Menemen Belediyespor: only games against sides at Aliaga Futbol's level
Aliaga Futbol 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALI 3 of 5 (60%) · MEN 4 of 6 (67%)58.9%
Aliaga Futbol scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Menemen Belediyespor trailed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Aliaga Futbol: only games against sides at Menemen Belediyespor's level · Menemen Belediyespor: only games against sides at Aliaga Futbol's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALI 5 of 5 (100%) · MEN 5 of 5 (100%)93.1%
Aliaga Futbol: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Menemen Belediyespor: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Aliaga Futbol: only games against sides at Menemen Belediyespor's level · Menemen Belediyespor: only games against sides at Aliaga Futbol's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALI 5 of 5 (100%) · MEN 4 of 5 (80%)76.9%
Aliaga Futbol: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Menemen Belediyespor: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Aliaga Futbol: only games against sides at Menemen Belediyespor's level · Menemen Belediyespor: only games against sides at Aliaga Futbol's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.45
ALI 3 of 5 (60%) · MEN 3 of 5 (60%)52.2%
Aliaga Futbol: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Menemen Belediyespor: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · Aliaga Futbol: only games against sides at Menemen Belediyespor's level · Menemen Belediyespor: only games against sides at Aliaga Futbol's level
ALIAGA FUTBOL GOALS
Aliaga Futbol Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALI 4 of 5 (80%) · MEN 4 of 5 (80%)80%
Aliaga Futbol scored in 4 of 5 at home · Menemen Belediyespor conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · Aliaga Futbol: only games against sides at Menemen Belediyespor's level · Menemen Belediyespor: only games against sides at Aliaga Futbol's level
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALI 4 of 5 (80%) · MEN 5 of 5 (100%)86.3%
Aliaga Futbol: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Menemen Belediyespor: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 79% · on half-time scores · Aliaga Futbol: only games against sides at Menemen Belediyespor's level · Menemen Belediyespor: only games against sides at Aliaga Futbol's level
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALI 4 of 6 (67%) · MEN 7 of 8 (88%)77.1%
Aliaga Futbol's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Menemen Belediyespor's games: over 2.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · Aliaga Futbol: only games against sides at Menemen Belediyespor's level · Menemen Belediyespor: only games against sides at Aliaga Futbol's level
Left off the list: Aliaga Futbol Win & Over 1.5 (the numbers (38%) and the records (55%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Menemen Belediyespor Over 0.5 goals (Menemen Belediyespor's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.4%
Aliaga Futbol goals →
Menemen Belediyespor goals ↓
0-07%
1-09%
2-08%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-17%
1-112%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-24%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.8%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
ALIAGA FUTBOLWDLDDWWLWW1.80 PPG
MENEMEN BELEDIYESPORLWLWWLLWWW1.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ALIAGA FUTBOL HOMExMENEMEN BELEDIYESPOR AWAY
1.90SCORED A GAME1.701.60CONCEDED A GAME1.9030%CLEAN SHEETS40%4.67CORNERS A GAME3.621.17CARDS A GAME3.12
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
TRENDS
Aliaga Futbol have scored in 70% of their games.
Menemen Belediyespor have scored in 70% of their games.
Aliaga Futbol kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Menemen Belediyespor kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards