Match details. 3. Division, Group 1, Regular Season - 23. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Ullern are 10th on 23 points after 22 games, 1 point behind KFUM II, level on points with Lokomotiv Oslo. A win would take them above KFUM II. SF Grei are 13th on 19 points after 22 games, 1 point behind Nordstrand, 2 points clear of Konnerud. A win would take them above Nordstrand. Ullern have nothing left to play for. SF Grei have nothing left to play for.
Form. Ullern have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L. In this competition Ullern have gone W L W L L W. SF Grei have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L L. In this competition SF Grei have gone W W L L L W.
The numbers. Ullern score 2.2 and concede 3.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. SF Grei score two and concede 2.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 25 Apr 2026, it finished Ullern 2-3 SF Grei.
The case against. SF Grei's record still gives them 48% to win.
The read. Ullern to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Ullern the likelier winners; Ullern are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Ullern. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 90%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Ullern or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); SF Grei or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Ullern); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Ullern 2-1 SF Grei (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).