Match details. Pro League, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Paykan FC are 10th on 8 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Chadormalu SC, level on points with Malavan. A win would take them above Chadormalu SC. Shams Azar Qazvin are 16th on 5 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Esteghlal Khuzestan, level on points with Mes Shahr-e Babak. A win would take them above Esteghlal Khuzestan.
Form. Paykan FC have won two, drawn two and lost three of their last seven, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D W. In this competition Paykan FC have gone L W L D W D. Shams Azar Qazvin have won one, drawn two and lost four of their last seven, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W L. In this competition Shams Azar Qazvin have gone L L D W L D.
The numbers. Paykan FC score 0.7 and concede 0.9 a game over their last seven, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. Shams Azar Qazvin score 0.9 and concede 1.3 a game over their last seven, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Paykan FC have won none, drawn two and lost two. One of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 28 Jan 2026, it finished Paykan FC 0-1 Shams Azar Qazvin.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Paykan FC are the stronger side on form and the table, but the meetings favour Shams Azar Qazvin.
The case against. Shams Azar Qazvin's record still gives them 32% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. Paykan FC or the draw. A tight game. Paykan FC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Shams Azar Qazvin. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 22%. Three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Paykan FC 1-1 Shams Azar Qazvin (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).