BJABJA

12:00Sun 11 Oct

NOT

Bjarg vs Notodden FK

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. 2nd Division Group 1, Regular Season - 23. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stavollen kunstgress.

What's at stake. Bjarg are 4th on 44 points after 22 games, 1 point behind Brattvåg, 2 points clear of Sotra. A win would take them above Brattvåg. Notodden FK are 6th on 35 points after 22 games, 7 points behind Sotra, 1 point clear of Kvik Halden. Notodden FK have nothing left to play for, while Bjarg need the win.

Form. Bjarg have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition Bjarg have gone W W W W W W. Notodden FK have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D W. In this competition Notodden FK have gone L L W D W D.

The numbers. Bjarg score 2.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Bjarg average 2.7 corners and 0.9 cards a game. Notodden FK score 1.2 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and three games without a goal. Notodden FK average 2.8 corners and 1.0 cards a game.

Head to head. The last time they met, on 25 Apr 2026, it finished Bjarg 1-0 Notodden FK.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 70% against the records' 47%.

The read. No firm call: Bjarg are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make Bjarg the likelier winners; Bjarg are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Bjarg.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Bjarg Over 0.5 Goals (Notodden FK's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (Bjarg are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Bjarg are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Bjarg 1-1 Notodden FK (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BJA 5 of 5 (100%) · NOT 9 of 10 (90%)93.7%

Bjarg: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Notodden FK: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Bjarg: only games against sides at Notodden FK's level · Notodden FK: only games against sides at Bjarg's level

NOTODDEN FK GOALS

Notodden FK Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES

1.31

BJA 8 of 10 (80%) · NOT 4 of 5 (80%)77.2%

Notodden FK scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Bjarg conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · Notodden FK: only games against sides at Bjarg's level · Bjarg: only games against sides at Notodden FK's level

Notodden FK Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.46

BJA 7 of 10 (70%) · NOT 3 of 5 (60%)54.9%

Notodden FK scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Bjarg conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 65% · Notodden FK: only games against sides at Bjarg's level · Bjarg: only games against sides at Notodden FK's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.22

BJA 4 of 5 (80%) · NOT 7 of 10 (70%)75%

Bjarg: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Notodden FK: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · Bjarg: only games against sides at Notodden FK's level · Notodden FK: only games against sides at Bjarg's level

Left off the list: Bjarg Over 0.5 Goals (Notodden FK's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (Bjarg are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Bjarg are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12%

Bjarg goals →

Notodden FK goals ↓

0-07%

1-011%

2-010%

3-06%

4-02%

5-00.8%

0-16%

1-112%

2-110%

3-16%

4-12%

5-10.8%

0-23%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.3%

1-40.5%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

BJARGLWLDWWWWWW2.20 PPG

NOTODDEN FKWWWLDWDWLL1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BJARG HOMExNOTODDEN FK AWAY

2.50SCORED A GAME1.200.90CONCEDED A GAME0.9030%CLEAN SHEETS40%9%FAILED TO SCORE27%2.73CORNERS A GAME2.840.91CARDS A GAME1.00

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

BJARG TO SCORE

–

136 OF 144

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner in a league averaging 2.9+ goals a game.

BJARG OR DRAW (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

2.62POINTS A GAME1.70+2.12GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.30+6.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–3.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.48LEAGUE GAMES10

Bjarg: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

BJARG 2:0 HANDICAP

–

389 OF 413

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

68%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

53%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

80%

NO · 85/90

BJARG OR DRAW

74%

NO · 80/85

NOTODDEN FK OR DRAW

50%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

BJARGxNOTODDEN FK

5GAMES53.80SCORED A GAME1.800.80CONCEDED A GAME1.204.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 1

BJARG 1 · 100%DRAW 0NOTODDEN FK 0 · 0%

2026-04-25Bjarg 1 – 0 Notodden FK

TRENDS

Bjarg have scored in 100% of their games.

Notodden FK have scored in 70% of their games.

Bjarg kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Notodden FK kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards