Match details. Super League 2, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Olympiacos Piraeus B are 13th on 4 points after 4 games, level on points with Niki Volos, level on points with Nestos Chrisoupolis. A win would take them above Niki Volos. Asteras Tripolis B are 8th on 6 points after 5 games, 2 points behind Panthrakikos, 1 point clear of Apollon Pontou. A win would take them above Panthrakikos.
Form. Olympiacos Piraeus B have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D L. Asteras Tripolis B have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L.
The numbers. Olympiacos Piraeus B score 0.9 and concede 2.2 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Olympiacos Piraeus B average 6.0 shots (2.2 on target), 3.2 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Asteras Tripolis B score 0.4 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Asteras Tripolis B average 8.2 shots (2.0 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Asteras Tripolis B are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Olympiacos Piraeus B. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Asteras Tripolis B or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Asteras Tripolis B or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Asteras Tripolis B Over 0.5 Goals (Asteras Tripolis B's own games don't back it (1 of 5)). Predicted score: Olympiacos Piraeus B 1-1 Asteras Tripolis B (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).