Match details. Regionalliga Southwest, Sudwest - 11. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. FC Astoria Walldorf are 14th on 9 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Eintracht Frankfurt II, level on points with FSV Mainz 05 II. A win would take them above Eintracht Frankfurt II. FSV Mainz II are 15th on 9 points after 10 games, level on points with FC Astoria Walldorf, level on points with Kaiserslautern II. A win would take them above FC Astoria Walldorf.
Form. FC Astoria Walldorf have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L W. In this competition FC Astoria Walldorf have gone W L L L W D. FSV Mainz II have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. In this competition FSV Mainz II have gone L W L L L W.
The numbers. FC Astoria Walldorf score 1.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. FC Astoria Walldorf average 0.1 cards a game. FSV Mainz II score 1.2 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. FSV Mainz II average 0.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings FC Astoria Walldorf have won five, drawn one and lost two. Six of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, FC Astoria Walldorf won two, one was drawn and FSV Mainz II won one. The last time they met, on 22 Nov 2025, it finished FC Astoria Walldorf 1-2 FSV Mainz II.
The case against. FSV Mainz II's record still gives them 34% to win.
The read. FC Astoria Walldorf to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Astoria Walldorf the likelier winners; FC Astoria Walldorf are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Astoria Walldorf; the meetings favour FC Astoria Walldorf. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 86%. Six of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.44, 80% on the records (FC Astoria Walldorf: both scored in 4 of 5 at home; FSV Mainz II: both scored in 4 of 5 away). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FC Astoria Walldorf 2-1 FSV Mainz II (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).