Match details. Regionalliga Bavaria, Bayern - 13. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. DJK Vilzing are 11th on 16 points after 11 games, level on points with Eltersdorf, 1 point clear of Augsburg II. A win would take them above Eltersdorf. TSV Buchbach are 1st on 27 points after 12 games, 3 points clear of Memmingen.
Form. DJK Vilzing have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D D. In this competition DJK Vilzing have gone L D D D D W. TSV Buchbach have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W W. In this competition TSV Buchbach have gone L D W W W W.
The numbers. DJK Vilzing score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. DJK Vilzing average 0.1 cards a game. TSV Buchbach score 2.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. TSV Buchbach average 0.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings DJK Vilzing have won seven, drawn one and lost none. Six of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, DJK Vilzing won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 21 Apr 2026, it finished DJK Vilzing 3-0 TSV Buchbach.
Where it pulls both ways. TSV Buchbach are the form side, but the meetings favour DJK Vilzing: in the last eight meetings, DJK Vilzing won seven and one was drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%; six of the last eight meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%. Six of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: DJK Vilzing or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); TSV Buchbach or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); DJK Vilzing or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: DJK Vilzing 2-1 TSV Buchbach (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).