Ferrymead Bays vs Miramar Rangers
Match details. National League, Championship Group - 3. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 04:00 Lagos time. It is played at Ferrymead Park, Christchurch.
What's at stake. Ferrymead Bays are 4th on 4 points after 2 games, level on points with Miramar, 1 point clear of Auckland City. A win would take them above Miramar. Miramar Rangers are 3rd on 4 points after 2 games, level on points with Auckland United, level on points with Ferrymead Bays. A win would take them above Auckland United.
Form. Ferrymead Bays have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W L. In this competition Ferrymead Bays have gone W D. Miramar Rangers have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W. In this competition Miramar Rangers have gone W D.
The numbers. Ferrymead Bays score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Miramar Rangers score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets.
The read. A draw. An open game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Ferrymead Bays 2-2 Miramar Rangers (6% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).