Real Oviedo vs Eibar
Match details. It's LaLiga 2, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Mon 12 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time at Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo. The referee is Morales Moreno Pablo.
What's at stake. Oviedo sit 10th on 11 points after 8 games, level on points with Granada CF and Celta de Vigo II, and a win would lift them above Granada. Eibar sit top on 21 points after 8 games, level on points with Almeria.
Form. Oviedo have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game, with a recent run L W L W D. Eibar have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game, and their last five are W W W W W.
The numbers. At home Oviedo score 0.4 and concede 0.4 a game in the last five, keeping three clean sheets and being shut out in four. They average 11.0 shots (3.4 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. Away Eibar score 2.2 and concede 0.8 a game in the last five, with two clean sheets, and average 8.6 shots (3.8 on target), 3.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game, holding 41% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Oviedo have won three, drawn four and lost two. Two of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four meetings Oviedo won two and two were drawn. The last clash on 5 Apr 2025 ended 1-1, with Oviedo having nine shots to Eibar's 14, 41% of the ball and 11 yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals their numbers point to an open game and their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%. Seven of the last nine meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Oviedo's record still gives them 34% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.
The read. Eibar to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Eibar the likelier winners; Eibar are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Eibar. Seven of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.24, 72% on the records (Real Oviedo: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8; Eibar: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Backup: Eibar or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.28. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Eibar or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Eibar Over 0.5 goals (Real Oviedo's own games don't back it (3 of 8)). Predicted score: Real Oviedo 0-1 Eibar (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).