Burgos CF vs Granada
Match details. LaLiga 2, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Mon 12 Oct, 15:15 Lagos time. It is played at Municipal El Plantio, Burgos. Referee is Salvador Lax.
What's at stake. Burgos CF are 8th on 14 points after 8 games, level on points with Girona, 3 points clear of Granada CF. A win would take them above Girona. Granada are 9th on 11 points after 8 games, 3 points behind Burgos, level on points with Oviedo. A win would take them level on points with Burgos.
Form. Burgos CF have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W D. Granada have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D L.
The numbers. Burgos CF score two and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. They average 8.7 shots (3.1 on target), 2.9 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. Granada score 1.5 and concede two a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. They average 12.1 shots (4.1 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Burgos CF have won one, drawn three and lost two. Two of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Burgos CF won one and three were drawn. The last time they met, on 16 May 2026, it finished Burgos CF 1-0 Granada: Burgos CF had 8 shots to 8, 45% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%; four of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Granada's record still gives them 23% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: four of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The read. Burgos CF to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Burgos CF the likelier winners; Burgos CF are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Burgos CF. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Burgos CF or Draw & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); 1X2 - 2UP: Burgos CF (the signs point different ways); Granada Under 1.5 goals (Granada's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: Burgos CF 2-1 Granada (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).