Match details. Serie B. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time.
Form. Gualaceo SC have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W. Cumbaya FC have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L.
The numbers. Gualaceo SC score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Gualaceo SC average 4.1 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Cumbaya FC score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Cumbaya FC average 4.3 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
The read. Gualaceo SC to win. An open game. Gualaceo SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Gualaceo SC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Gualaceo SC or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Gualaceo SC 2-1 Cumbaya FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).