Match details. Ykkonen, Group Stage. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at Vare Areena, Kuopio.
Form. KuPS Akatemia have won one, drawn three and lost three of their last seven league games, 0.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W D L L. VJS have won one, drawn five and lost one of their last seven league games, 1.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D D W D.
The numbers. KuPS Akatemia score 1.7 and concede two a game over their last seven, with no clean sheets. KuPS Akatemia average 5.5 corners and 2.3 cards a game. VJS score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game over their last seven, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. VJS average 7.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
The read. VJS to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make VJS the likelier winners; VJS are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour VJS. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or VJS at 1.19, rated 90% (VJS unbeaten in 4 of 5 away; KuPS Akatemia failed to win 5 of 5 at home). Predicted score: KuPS Akatemia 1-2 VJS (10% chance).
The agreed story. VJS or the draw, an open game.
The league run. KuPS Akatemia: lost their last two league games (L L D D D). VJS: unbeaten in their last five league games (W D D D D).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).