Match details. Prva Liga, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion FK Metalac, Gornji Milanovac.
What's at stake. FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac are 6th on 18 points after 12 games, 4 points behind OFK Vršac, 1 point clear of Napredak. FK Teleoptik are 14th on 10 points after 12 games, level on points with Grafičar, 2 points clear of Jedinstvo Ub. A win would take them above Grafičar.
Form. FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W. In this competition FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac have gone D W W W W D. FK Teleoptik have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L D. In this competition FK Teleoptik have gone W L L L D D.
The numbers. FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac score 1.3 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and four games without a goal. FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac average 4.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game. FK Teleoptik score 1.4 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. FK Teleoptik average 3.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac have won two, drawn one and lost one. Three of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. The last time they met, on 9 Dec 2018, it finished FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac 2-1 FK Teleoptik.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%; three of the last four meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. FK Teleoptik's record still gives them 25% to win.
The read. FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac to win. Their goals for and against make FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac the likelier winners; FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. Best bet: FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac or Draw at 1.27, 78% on the records (FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac unbeaten in 7 of 10; FK Teleoptik failed to win 4 of 5 away). Predicted score: FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac 1-0 FK Teleoptik (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).