ICIKO

16:00Sat 10 Oct

KWA

Ikorodu City vs Kwara United

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Mobolaji Johnson Arena, Lagos.

What's at stake. Ikorodu City are 10th on 9 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Kwara United, level on points with Sporting Lagos. A win would take them above Kwara United. Kwara United are 9th on 10 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Plateau United, 1 point clear of Ikorodu City. A win would take them above Plateau United.

Form. Ikorodu City have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L D. Kwara United have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L W.

The numbers. Ikorodu City score 1.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Ikorodu City average 9.7 shots (3.5 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Kwara United score 0.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Kwara United average 6.3 shots (2.0 on target), 1.0 corners and 3.7 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last four meetings Ikorodu City have won two, drawn two and lost none. One of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 18 Jan 2026, it finished Ikorodu City 1-0 Kwara United.

The read. Ikorodu City to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Ikorodu City the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Ikorodu City; the meetings favour Ikorodu City. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%. Three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Ikorodu City or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Ikorodu City or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Ikorodu City 1-0 Kwara United (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Ikorodu City or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

IKO 4 of 5 (80%) · KWA 4 of 5 (80%)78.7%

Ikorodu City: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Kwara United: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · H2H 4 of 4 · Ikorodu City: only games against sides at Kwara United's level · Kwara United: only games against sides at Ikorodu City's level

Ikorodu City or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY

no price yet

IKO 4 of 5 (80%) · KWA 5 of 5 (100%)76.2%

Ikorodu City: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Kwara United: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 2 of 4 · Ikorodu City: only games against sides at Kwara United's level · Kwara United: only games against sides at Ikorodu City's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

IKO 5 of 5 (100%) · KWA 5 of 5 (100%)96.3%

Ikorodu City: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Kwara United: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · H2H 4 of 4 · Ikorodu City: only games against sides at Kwara United's level · Kwara United: only games against sides at Ikorodu City's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

IKO 5 of 5 (100%) · KWA 5 of 5 (100%)90.4%

Ikorodu City: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Kwara United: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 4 of 4 · Ikorodu City: only games against sides at Kwara United's level · Kwara United: only games against sides at Ikorodu City's level

IKORODU CITY GOALS

Ikorodu City Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.18

IKO 4 of 5 (80%) · KWA 5 of 5 (100%)73.5%

Ikorodu City scored in 4 of 5 at home · Kwara United conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 2 of 4 · Ikorodu City: only games against sides at Kwara United's level · Kwara United: only games against sides at Ikorodu City's level

Left off the list: Ikorodu City or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Ikorodu City or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 11.2%

Ikorodu City goals →

Kwara United goals ↓

0-09%

1-011%

2-09%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-24%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.6%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

IKORODU CITYWLLWDDLWDL1.20 PPG

KWARA UNITEDDWLDLWLWLW1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

IKORODU CITY HOMExKWARA UNITED AWAY

1.30SCORED A GAME1.301.40CONCEDED A GAME1.3030%CLEAN SHEETS20%43%FAILED TO SCORE43%4.17CORNERS A GAME1.001.50CARDS A GAME3.67

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

KWARA UNITED 0:3 HANDICAP

–

134 OF 142

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO

–

138 OF 151

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW

–

85 OF 93

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.29POINTS A GAME1.43+0.14GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.14+2.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.87LEAGUE GAMES7

Kwara United: the quality side - better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

72%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

61%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

98%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

IKORODU CITY OR DRAW

97%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

KWARA UNITED OR DRAW

20%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

IKORODU CITYxKWARA UNITED

5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME1.400.80CONCEDED A GAME0.801.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.260%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%20%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4

IKORODU CITY 2 · 50%DRAW 2KWARA UNITED 0 · 0%

1 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED

1 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS

1 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS

0 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS

2024-09-22Ikorodu City 0 – 0 Kwara United

2025-02-09Ikorodu City 2 – 1 Kwara United

2025-08-24Ikorodu City 0 – 0 Kwara United

2026-01-18Ikorodu City 1 – 0 Kwara United

TRENDS

Ikorodu City have scored in 70% of their games.

Kwara United have scored in 60% of their games.

Ikorodu City kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Kwara United kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards