Match details. Super Liga, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Joma Arena.
What's at stake. Dacia Buiucani are 4th on 20 points after 13 games, 4 points behind Petrocub, 3 points clear of Milsami Orhei. Sheriff Tiraspol are 1st on 28 points after 13 games, 2 points clear of Zimbru. Dacia Buiucani have nothing left to play for.
Form. Dacia Buiucani have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D D. In this competition Dacia Buiucani have gone W W L D D W. Sheriff Tiraspol have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L W. In this competition Sheriff Tiraspol have gone W W D L W D.
The numbers. Dacia Buiucani score 1.2 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Dacia Buiucani average 4.2 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Sheriff Tiraspol score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Sheriff Tiraspol average 7.6 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
Head to head. Sheriff Tiraspol have won all of the last ten meetings. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Sheriff Tiraspol won four. The last time they met, on 9 Aug 2026, it finished Dacia Buiucani 0-1 Sheriff Tiraspol.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Dacia Buiucani's record still gives them 21% to win.
The read. Sheriff Tiraspol to win. Their goals for and against make Sheriff Tiraspol the likelier winners; Sheriff Tiraspol are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sheriff Tiraspol; the meetings favour Sheriff Tiraspol.
The bets. Best bet: Sheriff Tiraspol (Draw No Bet) at 1.09, 76% on the records (Sheriff Tiraspol won 6 of 7 (draws left out); Dacia Buiucani lost 4 of 8 (draws left out)). Leave: Sheriff Tiraspol Over 1.5 Goals (Sheriff Tiraspol's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Dacia Buiucani 1-2 Sheriff Tiraspol (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).