Match details. Ligue 1, Regular Season - 5. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stade Hedi-Enneifer, Le Bardo, a neutral ground.
What's at stake. Esperance Sportive de Tunis are 2nd on 9 points after 4 games, level on points with Club Africain, 1 point clear of US Ben Guerdane. A win would take them above Club Africain. Olympique de Beja are 14th on 2 points after 4 games, 1 point behind ES Metlaoui, 1 point clear of ES Hammam-Sousse. A win would take them above ES Metlaoui.
Form. Esperance Sportive de Tunis have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W. Olympique de Beja have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L D.
The numbers. Esperance Sportive de Tunis score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. Esperance Sportive de Tunis average 12.8 shots (5.6 on target), 6.9 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Olympique de Beja score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Olympique de Beja average 0.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Esperance Sportive de Tunis have won seven, drawn one and lost two. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Esperance Sportive de Tunis won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 1 Mar 2026, it finished Esperance Sportive de Tunis 3-0 Olympique de Beja.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 81% against the records' 58%.
The read. No firm call: Esperance Sportive de Tunis are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Esperance Sportive de Tunis the likelier winners; Esperance Sportive de Tunis are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Esperance Sportive de Tunis; the meetings favour Esperance Sportive de Tunis. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.33, 79% on the records (Esperance Sportive de Tunis: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6; Olympique de Beja: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 9). Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Esperance Sportive de Tunis 1-0 Olympique de Beja (16% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).