TUNISIA - LIGUE 1
14:30Sat 10 Oct
USM
UM
CA Bizertin vs US Monastir
CLASS D
THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
70
DOUBLE CHANCE
Class D
Double Chance: Draw or US Monastir
CA Bizertin v US Monastir
1.33odds
75%book
-5edge
2/2angles
THE READ
Match details. Ligue 1. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. CA Bizertin have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W L. US Monastir have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D W.
The numbers. CA Bizertin score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. CA Bizertin average 10.6 shots (4.3 on target), 5.9 corners and 1.7 cards a game. US Monastir score 1.2 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and five games without a goal. US Monastir average 8.8 shots (4.0 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
The case against. CA Bizertin's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. US Monastir to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make US Monastir the likelier winners; US Monastir are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 31%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or US Monastir at 1.38, 73% on the records (US Monastir unbeaten in 6 of 9; CA Bizertin failed to win 4 of 5 at home). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CA Bizertin 0-1 US Monastir (11% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
US Monastir or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAB 8 of 9 (89%) · USM 5 of 5 (100%)88.9%
US Monastir: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CA Bizertin: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 94% · US Monastir: only games against sides at CA Bizertin's level · CA Bizertin: only games against sides at US Monastir's level
US Monastir or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.27
CAB 5 of 5 (100%) · USM 6 of 9 (67%)82.2%
US Monastir scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CA Bizertin trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 at home · US Monastir: only games against sides at CA Bizertin's level · CA Bizertin: only games against sides at US Monastir's level
Double Chance: Draw or US MonastirMAININ CODES
1.33
CAB 6 of 9 (67%) · USM 4 of 5 (80%)70.1%
US Monastir unbeaten in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CA Bizertin failed to win 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 72% · US Monastir: only games against sides at CA Bizertin's level · CA Bizertin: only games against sides at US Monastir's level
US Monastir (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.82
CAB 4 of 7 (57%) · USM 5 of 7 (71%)62.9%
US Monastir won 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · CA Bizertin lost 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 64% · US Monastir: only games against sides at CA Bizertin's level · CA Bizertin: only games against sides at US Monastir's level · won 3, refunded 3, lost 3
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAB 5 of 5 (100%) · USM 8 of 9 (89%)95.9%
CA Bizertin: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · US Monastir: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · CA Bizertin: only games against sides at US Monastir's level · US Monastir: only games against sides at CA Bizertin's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAB 5 of 5 (100%) · USM 8 of 9 (89%)89.6%
CA Bizertin: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · US Monastir: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · CA Bizertin: only games against sides at US Monastir's level · US Monastir: only games against sides at CA Bizertin's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAB 5 of 5 (100%) · USM 8 of 9 (89%)77.4%
CA Bizertin: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · US Monastir: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · CA Bizertin: only games against sides at US Monastir's level · US Monastir: only games against sides at CA Bizertin's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 72%
1.38
CAB 4 of 5 (80%) · USM 5 of 9 (56%)52.3%
CA Bizertin: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · US Monastir: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · CA Bizertin: only games against sides at US Monastir's level · US Monastir: only games against sides at CA Bizertin's level
US MONASTIR GOALS
US Monastir Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.57
CAB 5 of 9 (56%) · USM 4 of 5 (80%)74%
US Monastir scored in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CA Bizertin conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 67% · US Monastir: only games against sides at CA Bizertin's level · CA Bizertin: only games against sides at US Monastir's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAB 4 of 5 (80%) · USM 7 of 9 (78%)80.4%
CA Bizertin: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · US Monastir: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · on half-time scores · CA Bizertin: only games against sides at US Monastir's level · US Monastir: only games against sides at CA Bizertin's level
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAB 4 of 5 (80%) · USM 6 of 9 (67%)74.8%
CA Bizertin: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · US Monastir: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · on half-time scores · CA Bizertin: only games against sides at US Monastir's level · US Monastir: only games against sides at CA Bizertin's level
1st Half - GG/NG: NoBACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.09
CAB 4 of 5 (80%) · USM 6 of 9 (67%)74.8%
CA Bizertin: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · US Monastir: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · on half-time scores · CA Bizertin: only games against sides at US Monastir's level · US Monastir: only games against sides at CA Bizertin's level
CARDS
Over 1.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAB 4 of 6 (67%) · USM 4 of 5 (80%)73.3%
CA Bizertin's games: over 1.5 cards in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · US Monastir's games: over 1.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · CA Bizertin: only games against sides at US Monastir's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–1 10.6%
CA Bizertin goals →
US Monastir goals ↓
0-08%
1-08%
2-04%
3-02%
4-00.4%
5-00.1%
0-111%
1-113%
2-17%
3-12%
4-10.7%
5-10.1%
0-28%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.5%
5-20.1%
0-34%
1-35%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.2%
5-30.1%
0-42%
1-42%
2-40.9%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.5%
1-50.5%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
CA BIZERTINDLLLLLWWDL0.80 PPG
US MONASTIRDLWLLWDWDW1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CA BIZERTIN HOMExUS MONASTIR AWAY
0.50SCORED A GAME1.201.20CONCEDED A GAME0.9020%CLEAN SHEETS40%5.86CORNERS A GAME5.401.71CARDS A GAME2.80
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
63%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
32%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
92%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CA BIZERTIN OR DRAW
80%
NO · 80/85
US MONASTIR OR DRAW
66%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
TRENDS
CA Bizertin have scored in 50% of their games.
US Monastir have scored in 50% of their games.
CA Bizertin kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
US Monastir kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards