Match details. Promotion League, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. FC Bavois are 16th on 8 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Lugano II, 1 point clear of Luzern II. A win would take them above Lugano II. FC Amical Saint-Prex are 11th on 13 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Breitenrain, 1 point clear of Kreuzlingen. A win would take them above Breitenrain.
Form. FC Bavois have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W. In this competition FC Bavois have gone L L L L W L. FC Amical Saint-Prex have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L W. In this competition FC Amical Saint-Prex have gone L W D L W L.
The numbers. FC Bavois score one and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. FC Bavois average 5.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game. FC Amical Saint-Prex score 1.2 and concede 3.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. FC Amical Saint-Prex average 6.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.
The case against. FC Amical Saint-Prex's record still gives them 43% to win.
The read. FC Bavois to win. Their goals for and against make FC Bavois the likelier winners; both teams' records favour FC Bavois.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: FC Bavois 1-0 FC Amical Saint-Prex (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).