Match details. Erovnuli Liga, Regular Season - 28. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadioni Vladimer Bochorishvili, Tkibuli.
What's at stake. FC Meshakhte Tkibuli are 10th on 17 points after 27 games, 8 points behind Spaeri. FC Iberia 1999 are 4th on 46 points after 27 games, level on points with Rustavi, 6 points clear of Dila. A win would take them above Rustavi. FC Iberia 1999 have nothing left to play for.
Form. FC Meshakhte Tkibuli have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D D W. In this competition FC Meshakhte Tkibuli have gone D L D D W L. FC Iberia 1999 have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L. In this competition FC Iberia 1999 have gone L W W W L W.
The numbers. FC Meshakhte Tkibuli score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Meshakhte Tkibuli average 6.5 shots (2.6 on target), 3.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. FC Iberia 1999 score 1.4 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Iberia 1999 average 15.5 shots (5.7 on target), 7.2 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 61% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last four meetings FC Meshakhte Tkibuli have won none, drawn one and lost three. Four of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 23 Jun 2026, it finished FC Meshakhte Tkibuli 1-2 FC Iberia 1999: FC Meshakhte Tkibuli had 11 shots to 8, 45% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%; four of the last four meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. FC Meshakhte Tkibuli's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. FC Iberia 1999 to win. FC Iberia 1999 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Iberia 1999; the meetings favour FC Iberia 1999.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: FC Meshakhte Tkibuli 0-1 FC Iberia 1999 (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).