JBJAG

19:15Sat 10 Oct

GOR

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Gornik Zabrze

CLASS B

THE READ

Match details. Ekstraklasa, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 19:15 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku, Bialystok. The referee is Wojciech Myc.

What's at stake. Jagiellonia Bialystok are 10th on 12 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Piast Gliwice, 1 point clear of Wisla Plock. A win would take them above Piast Gliwice. Gornik Zabrze are 1st on 22 points after 9 games, 3 points clear of Legia Warszawa.

Form. Jagiellonia Bialystok have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. Gornik Zabrze have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W.

The numbers. Jagiellonia Bialystok score 1.7 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Jagiellonia Bialystok average 11.3 shots (4.4 on target), 3.4 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 57% of the ball. Gornik Zabrze score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Gornik Zabrze average 10.7 shots (4.1 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Jagiellonia Bialystok have won four, drawn two and lost four. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in nine. In the last four, Jagiellonia Bialystok won one, one was drawn and Gornik Zabrze won two. The last time they met, on 24 Apr 2026, it finished Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-2 Gornik Zabrze: Jagiellonia Bialystok had 18 shots to 11, 61% of the ball, seven yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 37% against the records' 69%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.

The read. No firm call: Gornik Zabrze are the better side, but not at this price. Gornik Zabrze are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Gornik Zabrze.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Gornik Zabrze win or both teams score (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-1 Gornik Zabrze (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Gornik Zabrze or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

JAG 6 of 7 (86%) · GOR 6 of 6 (100%)92.9%

Gornik Zabrze: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Jagiellonia Bialystok: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Gornik Zabrze: only games against sides at Jagiellonia Bialystok's level · Jagiellonia Bialystok: only games against sides at Gornik Zabrze's level

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.14

JAG 5 of 6 (83%) · GOR 6 of 7 (86%)87.5%

Jagiellonia Bialystok: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Gornik Zabrze: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Jagiellonia Bialystok: only games against sides at Gornik Zabrze's level · Gornik Zabrze: only games against sides at Jagiellonia Bialystok's level

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.26

JAG 6 of 6 (100%) · GOR 5 of 7 (71%)74.2%

Jagiellonia Bialystok: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Gornik Zabrze: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · Jagiellonia Bialystok: only games against sides at Gornik Zabrze's level · Gornik Zabrze: only games against sides at Jagiellonia Bialystok's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.63

JAG 4 of 6 (67%) · GOR 4 of 7 (57%)53.1%

Jagiellonia Bialystok: both scored in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Gornik Zabrze: both scored in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · Jagiellonia Bialystok: only games against sides at Gornik Zabrze's level · Gornik Zabrze: only games against sides at Jagiellonia Bialystok's level

JAGIELLONIA BIALYSTOK GOALS

Jagiellonia Bialystok Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.27

JAG 4 of 6 (67%) · GOR 4 of 7 (57%)77%

Jagiellonia Bialystok scored in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Gornik Zabrze conceded in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · Jagiellonia Bialystok: only games against sides at Gornik Zabrze's level · Gornik Zabrze: only games against sides at Jagiellonia Bialystok's level

Jagiellonia Bialystok Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.59

JAG 4 of 6 (67%) · GOR 6 of 7 (86%)56.8%

Jagiellonia Bialystok scored under 1.5 in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Gornik Zabrze conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Jagiellonia Bialystok: only games against sides at Gornik Zabrze's level · Gornik Zabrze: only games against sides at Jagiellonia Bialystok's level

GORNIK ZABRZE GOALS

Gornik Zabrze Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.28

JAG 6 of 7 (86%) · GOR 6 of 6 (100%)68.2%

Gornik Zabrze scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Jagiellonia Bialystok conceded in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Gornik Zabrze: only games against sides at Jagiellonia Bialystok's level · Jagiellonia Bialystok: only games against sides at Gornik Zabrze's level

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.21

JAG 6 of 6 (100%) · GOR 6 of 7 (86%)92.9%

Jagiellonia Bialystok: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Gornik Zabrze: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · on half-time scores · Jagiellonia Bialystok: only games against sides at Gornik Zabrze's level · Gornik Zabrze: only games against sides at Jagiellonia Bialystok's level

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.36

JAG 5 of 6 (83%) · GOR 5 of 7 (71%)77.4%

Jagiellonia Bialystok: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Gornik Zabrze: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · on half-time scores · Jagiellonia Bialystok: only games against sides at Gornik Zabrze's level · Gornik Zabrze: only games against sides at Jagiellonia Bialystok's level

CARDS

Over 1.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

JAG 4 of 6 (67%) · GOR 6 of 7 (86%)76.2%

Jagiellonia Bialystok's games: over 1.5 cards in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Gornik Zabrze's games: over 1.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Jagiellonia Bialystok: only games against sides at Gornik Zabrze's level · Gornik Zabrze: only games against sides at Jagiellonia Bialystok's level

Left off the list: Gornik Zabrze win or both teams score (the numbers (68%) and the records (93%) are 25 points apart, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.1%

Jagiellonia Bialystok goals →

Gornik Zabrze goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.8%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

JAGIELLONIA BIALYSTOKLDWWWLWLLL1.30 PPG

GORNIK ZABRZEDWLLLWWWWD1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

JAGIELLONIA BIALYSTOK HOMExGORNIK ZABRZE AWAY

1.70SCORED A GAME1.501.60CONCEDED A GAME1.4010%CLEAN SHEETS30%25%FAILED TO SCORE11%3.40CORNERS A GAME5.501.60CARDS A GAME2.101.49xG1.901.53xG AGAINST1.53

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.29POINTS A GAME2.17-0.29GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.67-2.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.81.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.67LEAGUE GAMES6

Gornik Zabrze: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

GORNIK ZABRZE 0:2 HANDICAP

–

373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

73%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

53%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

86%

OKAY · 85/90

JAGIELLONIA BIALYSTOK OR DRAW

38%

NO · 80/85

GORNIK ZABRZE OR DRAW

76%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

JAGIELLONIA BIALYSTOKxGORNIK ZABRZE

5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.402.00CONCEDED A GAME0.403.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE40%1.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.49.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES7.6

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

JAGIELLONIA BIALYSTOK 4 · 40%DRAW 2GORNIK ZABRZE 4 · 40%

9 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

10 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

7 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

2 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2021-08-16Jagiellonia Bialystok 1 – 3 Gornik Zabrze

2022-02-14Jagiellonia Bialystok 2 – 1 Gornik Zabrze

2022-08-26Jagiellonia Bialystok 1 – 1 Gornik Zabrze

2023-03-11Jagiellonia Bialystok 2 – 1 Gornik Zabrze

2023-08-27Jagiellonia Bialystok 4 – 1 Gornik Zabrze

2024-03-02Jagiellonia Bialystok 1 – 2 Gornik Zabrze

2024-11-03Jagiellonia Bialystok 2 – 0 Gornik Zabrze

2025-05-04Jagiellonia Bialystok 1 – 1 Gornik Zabrze

TRENDS

Jagiellonia Bialystok have scored in 80% of their games.

Gornik Zabrze have scored in 90% of their games.

Jagiellonia Bialystok kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Gornik Zabrze kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards