Match details. Allsvenskan. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time.
Form. Mjallby AIF have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D L. Degerfors IF have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L.
The numbers. Mjallby AIF score one and concede 2.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Mjallby AIF average 4.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Degerfors IF score 1.2 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Degerfors IF average 4.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Mjallby AIF the likelier winners, but Degerfors IF are the stronger side on form and the table.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Degerfors IF Over 0.5 goals (Degerfors IF's own games don't back it (1 of 5)); Degerfors IF win or both teams score (no result call); Degerfors IF or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Mjallby AIF 1-1 Degerfors IF (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).