Match details. Besta deild. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. Valur Reykjavik have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D L. FH Hafnarfjordur have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W D.
The numbers. Valur Reykjavik score 2.4 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Valur Reykjavik average 2.6 corners and 1.2 cards a game. FH Hafnarfjordur score 1.5 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. FH Hafnarfjordur average 4.1 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Valur Reykjavik the likelier winners, but FH Hafnarfjordur are the stronger side on form and the table. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The read. A draw. Little separates them, and both sides draw often.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Valur Reykjavik or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); FH Hafnarfjordur or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Valur Reykjavik or Over 1.5 Goals (the call is a draw). Predicted score: Valur Reykjavik 1-1 FH Hafnarfjordur (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).