Match details. Virsliga, Regular Season - 32. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Slokas Stadionā, Jūrmala.
What's at stake. SK Super Nova are 6th on 35 points after 30 games, 4 points behind BFC Daugavpils, 3 points clear of FS Jelgava. FK Grobina are 8th on 26 points after 31 games, 6 points behind FS Jelgava, 2 points clear of Tukums. SK Super Nova have nothing left to play for. FK Grobina have nothing left to play for.
Form. SK Super Nova have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W D. In this competition SK Super Nova have gone L L W W D D. FK Grobina have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W L. In this competition FK Grobina have gone D D L W L L.
The numbers. SK Super Nova score 0.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. FK Grobina score 0.5 and concede 2.8 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings SK Super Nova have won four, drawn four and lost none. One of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, SK Super Nova won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 20 Jul 2026, it finished SK Super Nova 2-0 FK Grobina.
The case against. FK Grobina's record still gives them 20% to win.
The read. SK Super Nova to win. A tight game. SK Super Nova are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SK Super Nova; the meetings favour SK Super Nova. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 31%. Seven of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: SK Super Nova or Draw at 1.36, 73% on the records (SK Super Nova unbeaten in 3 of 6 at home; FK Grobina failed to win 6 of 6 away). Backup: SK Super Nova or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.23. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: SK Super Nova or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); SK Super Nova or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: SK Super Nova 1-0 FK Grobina (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).