GAIGAI

14:00Sat 10 Oct

IKS

GAIS vs IK Sirius

CLASS B

THE READ

Match details. Allsvenskan, Regular Season - 23. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg. The referee is Victor Wolf.

What's at stake. GAIS are 10th on 30 points after 22 games, 3 points behind AIK Stockholm, 3 points clear of IF Brommapojkarna. A win would take them level on points with AIK Stockholm. IK Sirius are 1st on 51 points after 22 games, 8 points clear of Hammarby FF.

Team news. GAIS are without B. Asumang (illness), M. Bawa (illness), D. Collander (inactive), K. Holmen (knee injury), G. Lundgren (achilles tendon injury), W. Milovanovic (illness). W. Milovanovic is their main creator. IK Sirius are without M. Lindberg (yellow cards), O. Liimatta (thigh injury), M. Lindberg (yellow cards), O. Liimatta (thigh injury).

Form. GAIS have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W L. In this competition GAIS have gone W L D W L L. IK Sirius have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L. In this competition IK Sirius have gone W W W L L L.

The numbers. GAIS score 1.2 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. GAIS average 15.1 shots (5.3 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. IK Sirius score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. IK Sirius average 14.7 shots (5.6 on target), 6.6 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.

The case against. IK Sirius's record still gives them 50% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.

The read. GAIS to win. An open game. IK Sirius are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour IK Sirius.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: IK Sirius Under 1.5 goals (IK Sirius's own games don't back it (1 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (GAIS are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (GAIS are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: GAIS 2-1 IK Sirius (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

GAIS or Over 1.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

no price yet

GAI 3 of 5 (60%) · IKS 4 of 5 (80%)81.2%

GAIS: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · IK Sirius: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · GAIS: only games against sides at IK Sirius's level · IK Sirius: only games against sides at GAIS's level · GAIS without W. Milovanovic (rule 3)

GAIS or Both Teams ScoreTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.24

GAI 3 of 5 (60%) · IKS 3 of 5 (60%)70%

GAIS: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · IK Sirius: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · GAIS: only games against sides at IK Sirius's level · IK Sirius: only games against sides at GAIS's level · GAIS without W. Milovanovic (rule 3)

GAIS or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.30

GAI 4 of 5 (80%) · IKS 6 of 10 (60%)61.5%

GAIS scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · IK Sirius trailed or failed to win in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues)

GAIS or Over 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.39

GAI 2 of 5 (40%) · IKS 3 of 5 (60%)57.5%

GAIS: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · IK Sirius: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · GAIS: only games against sides at IK Sirius's level · IK Sirius: only games against sides at GAIS's level · GAIS without W. Milovanovic (rule 3)

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.23

GAI 2 of 5 (40%) · IKS 4 of 5 (80%)79.8%

GAIS: over 1.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · IK Sirius: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · GAIS: only games against sides at IK Sirius's level · IK Sirius: only games against sides at GAIS's level

GAIS GOALS

GAIS Over 0.5 goalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.25

GAI 3 of 5 (60%) · IKS 3 of 5 (60%)81.2%

GAIS scored in 3 of 5 at home · IK Sirius conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · GAIS: only games against sides at IK Sirius's level · IK Sirius: only games against sides at GAIS's level · GAIS without W. Milovanovic (rule 3)

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.20

GAI 4 of 5 (80%) · IKS 4 of 5 (80%)76.7%

GAIS: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · IK Sirius: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores · GAIS: only games against sides at IK Sirius's level · IK Sirius: only games against sides at GAIS's level

CARDS

Over 1.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

GAI 6 of 7 (86%) · IKS 6 of 7 (86%)85.7%

GAIS's games: over 1.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · IK Sirius's games: over 1.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · GAIS: only games against sides at IK Sirius's level · IK Sirius: only games against sides at GAIS's level

Left off the list: IK Sirius Under 1.5 goals (IK Sirius's own games don't back it (1 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (GAIS are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (GAIS are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 8.7%

GAIS goals →

IK Sirius goals ↓

0-09%

1-010%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.8%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

GAISWLDWLLWDLW1.40 PPG

IK SIRIUSWWWDLLLWWW1.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

GAIS HOMExIK SIRIUS AWAY

1.10SCORED A GAME1.900.80CONCEDED A GAME1.3050%CLEAN SHEETS40%5.00CORNERS A GAME6.572.57CARDS A GAME1.431.93xG1.681.37xG AGAINST1.52

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.40POINTS A GAME2.00+0.30GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.70+2.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.01.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.810LEAGUE GAMES10

IK Sirius: the quality side - more points a game.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

82%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

36%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

95%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

GAIS OR DRAW

42%

NO · 80/85

IK SIRIUS OR DRAW

70%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

GAISxIK SIRIUS

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.601.00CONCEDED A GAME1.202.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%0%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.0–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.8

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TEAM NEWS

GAIS

Out: B. Asumang (Illness), M. Bawa (Illness), D. Collander (Inactive), K. Holmen (Knee Injury), G. Lundgren (Achilles Tendon Injury), W. Milovanovic (Illness)

IK SIRIUS

Out: M. Lindberg (Yellow Cards), O. Liimatta (Thigh Injury), M. Lindberg (Yellow Cards), O. Liimatta (Thigh Injury)

TRENDS

GAIS have scored in 50% of their games.

IK Sirius have scored in 80% of their games.

GAIS kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

IK Sirius kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards