Match details. Pro League, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Cegeka Arena, Genk. The referee is W. Smet.
What's at stake. Genk are 11th on 9 points after 7 games, level on points with SK Beveren, 1 point clear of St. Truiden. A win would take them above SK Beveren. KV Kortrijk are 16th on 3 points after 7 games, 1 point behind OH Leuven, level on points with Cercle Brugge. A win would take them above OH Leuven.
Form. Genk have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W D. KV Kortrijk have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L L.
The numbers. Genk score 1.5 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and four games without a goal. Genk average 13.3 shots (5.2 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. KV Kortrijk score 0.4 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. KV Kortrijk average 7.4 shots (1.9 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Genk have won seven, drawn none and lost three. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Genk won three and KV Kortrijk won one. The last time they met, on 7 Dec 2024, it finished Genk 3-2 KV Kortrijk: Genk had 12 shots to 16, 72% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
The read. Genk to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Genk the likelier winners; Genk are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Genk; the meetings favour Genk. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Genk or Draw at 1.12, 90% on the records (Genk unbeaten in 8 of 10; KV Kortrijk failed to win 5 of 5 away). Backup: KV Kortrijk Under 1.5 Goals at 1.26. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Genk or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Genk 3-0 KV Kortrijk (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).