Match details. Saudi Pro League action is here. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Al Hilal SFC have won nine, drawn none and lost one of their last ten, averaging 2.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first, are W W L W W. Al-Ittihad Club have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten, taking 2.4 points a game, with their last five showing D W W W D.
The numbers. Al Hilal SFC score 2.8 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets. They average 17.2 shots (6.9 on target), 6.6 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Al-Ittihad Club score two and concede 0.5 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets. They average 4.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree here. The odds board makes it 75% against the records' 44%.
The read. No firm call: Al Hilal SFC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Al Hilal SFC the likelier winners; Al Hilal SFC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.10, 79% on the records (Al Hilal SFC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8; Al-Ittihad Club: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7). Backup: Al Hilal SFC or Over 2.5 Goals at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Al Hilal SFC 2-1 Al-Ittihad Club (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).