Feyenoord vs Alkmaar
Match details. Eredivisie action here. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 17:45 Lagos time.
Form. Feyenoord have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, getting 2.1 points a game with W W L W D in their last five. Alkmaar have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, getting 2.3 points a game with W L D W W in their last five.
The numbers. Feyenoord score 2.9 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. They average 16.3 shots, 7.2 on target, 6.3 corners and 0.8 cards a game. Alkmaar score 2.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets, while averaging 15.6 shots, 7.1 on target, 7.5 corners and 1.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Feyenoord the likelier winners, but Alkmaar are the stronger side on form and the table.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side, with their goals for and against pointing to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.13, 79% on the records (Feyenoord: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9; Alkmaar: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Feyenoord or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Alkmaar or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Feyenoord 2-1 Alkmaar (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).