Match details. Super Lig, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. The game is at Çaykur Didi Stadyumu in Rize. Referee O. Ergun.
What's at stake. Rizespor sit 8th on 10 points after 6 games, level with Trabzonspor and Kasımpaşa. A win would lift them above Trabzonspor. Fenerbahce sit 6th on 10 points after 6 games, one point behind Alanyaspor and level with Trabzonspor. A win would move them above Alanyaspor.
Team news. Rizespor miss K. Alikulov, out with a knee injury. Fenerbahce are without M. Muldur (knee) and J. Oosterwolde (achilles tendon).
Form. Rizespor have four wins, two draws and four losses in their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five go D, W, L, W, L. Fenerbahce have five wins, three draws and two losses in their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their recent five are W, D, D, L, W.
The numbers. Rizespor average 1.2 for and 1.6 against in their last ten, with two clean sheets and four goalless games. Rizespor fire 13.6 shots (4.4 on target), 5.1 corners and 1.9 cards a game, holding 56% of the ball; Fenerbahce have 14.2 shots (6.8 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.2 cards, also at 56% possession. Fenerbahce score 1.2 and concede 0.6 in their last five away, with three clean sheets.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Rizespor have no wins, one draw and nine losses. Nine of those games went over 2.5 goals and both sides scored in five. In the last four meetings Fenerbahce have three wins and one draw. The most recent clash on 17 Apr 2026 ended 2-2, with Rizespor having six shots to 15, 40% possession and eight yellow cards.
The case against. Caykur Rizespor's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. Fenerbahce Istanbul to win. An open game. Fenerbahce Istanbul are the stronger side on form and the table, both teams' records and the head-to-head favour them. Their goals for and against suggest an open game and their records give over 2.5 goals at 69%, with nine of the last ten meetings going over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Fenerbahce Istanbul 1UP at 1.31, 74% on the records (Fenerbahce Istanbul scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4; led in 5 of 6). Leave: Fenerbahce Istanbul or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Caykur Rizespor Under 1.5 goals (Caykur Rizespor's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Caykur Rizespor 1-2 Fenerbahce Istanbul (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).