Match details. Eliteserien, Regular Season - 23. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Lerkendal Stadion, Trondheim. The referee is Christian Moen.
What's at stake. Rosenborg BK are 5th on 33 points after 21 games, 3 points behind Molde, 1 point clear of Lillestrom. A win would take them level on points with Molde. Sandefjord Fotball are 11th on 23 points after 21 games, 2 points behind KFUM Oslo, level on points with Valerenga. A win would take them above KFUM Oslo.
Team news. Rosenborg BK are without J. Bakke (injury), I. Fossum (thigh injury), E. Slordal (foot injury), H. Volden (injury), J. Bakke (injury), I. Fossum (thigh injury). Sandefjord Fotball are without D. Koswal (knee injury), M. Melchior (knee injury), N. Moller (ankle injury), F. Loftesnes-Bjune (thigh injury), D. Koswal (knee injury), M. Melchior (knee injury).
Form. Rosenborg BK have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. In this competition Rosenborg BK have gone W W W L W W. Sandefjord Fotball have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D W. In this competition Sandefjord Fotball have gone W L D D W L.
The numbers. Rosenborg BK score 3.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Rosenborg BK average 16.5 shots (7.8 on target), 6.9 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Sandefjord Fotball score 1.1 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Sandefjord Fotball average 14.5 shots (4.0 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Rosenborg BK have won three, drawn three and lost two. Two of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Rosenborg BK won one, two were drawn and Sandefjord Fotball won one. The last time they met, on 18 Apr 2026, it finished Rosenborg BK 0-0 Sandefjord Fotball: Rosenborg BK had 17 shots to 17, 49% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%; six of the last eight meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.
The read. Rosenborg BK to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Rosenborg BK the likelier winners; Rosenborg BK are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Rosenborg BK. Six of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Rosenborg BK or Draw at 1.10, 81% on the records (Rosenborg BK unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; Sandefjord Fotball failed to win 8 of 10). Backup: Under 5.5 Goals at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Rosenborg BK or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Rosenborg BK Win & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Rosenborg BK 2-0 Sandefjord Fotball (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).