Casa Pia Lisbon vs Santa Clara Azores
Match details. Liga Portugal, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 20:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estádio Nacional, Jamor, Oeiras. The referee is Iancu Ioan Vasilica.
What's at stake. Casa Pia Lisbon are 17th on 4 points after 7 games, level on points with Rio Ave, 2 points clear of Estoril. A win would take them above Rio Ave. Santa Clara Azores are 4th on 15 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Benfica, 4 points clear of Arouca. A win would take them above Benfica.
Form. Casa Pia Lisbon have won one, drawn one and lost five of their last seven, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L L. In this competition Casa Pia Lisbon have gone W L D L L L. Santa Clara Azores have won four, drawn three and lost none of their last seven, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D W. In this competition Santa Clara Azores have gone D W W D W W.
The numbers. Casa Pia Lisbon score 0.4 and concede 2.3 a game over their last seven, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. Casa Pia Lisbon average 10.3 shots (2.7 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. Santa Clara Azores score 1.6 and concede 0.6 a game over their last seven, with four clean sheets. Santa Clara Azores average 13.1 shots (3.7 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 45% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Casa Pia Lisbon have won two, drawn two and lost three. Three of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, one was drawn and Santa Clara Azores won three. The last time they met, on 18 Apr 2026, it finished Casa Pia Lisbon 0-0 Santa Clara Azores: Casa Pia Lisbon had 10 shots to 5, 33% of the ball, five yellow cards.
The read. Santa Clara Azores to win. A tight game. Santa Clara Azores are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Santa Clara Azores; the meetings favour Santa Clara Azores. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%. Four of the last seven meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Santa Clara Azores or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Santa Clara Azores or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Casa Pia Lisbon 0-1 Santa Clara Azores (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).