ACADC

15:15Sat 10 Oct

CES

AD Ceuta vs CE Sabadell FC

CLASS A

THE READ

Match details. This is a LaLiga 2 Regular Season - 9 clash. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:15 Lagos time. It's at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube in Ceuta. Referee Olatz Rivera Olmedo will be in charge.

What's at stake. Ceuta sit 21st with 5 points after 8 games, two behind FC Andorra and four clear of Albacete. A win would lift them above Andorra. Sabadell sit 7th on 13 points, one off Burgos and level with Sporting Gijon. A win would push them past Burgos.

Form. Ceuta have one win, two draws and five losses in their last eight, 0.6 points a game. Their last five are D W D L L and in this competition they have gone D W D L L L. Sabadell have three wins, four draws and one loss in their last eight, 1.6 points a game. Their last five are D D W L W and in this competition they have gone D D W L W W.

The numbers. Ceuta average 0.9 goals for and 2.2 against in the last eight, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. They manage about 13.6 shots per game, 3.6 on target, 5.6 corners and 3.0 cards, holding 47% of possession. Sabadell score one and concede 0.8 per game over eight, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. They average 15.4 shots, 4.1 on target, 5.9 corners and 3.0 cards, with 44% possession.

The read. CE Sabadell FC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CE Sabadell FC the likelier winners; CE Sabadell FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CE Sabadell FC. Their xG points to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CE Sabadell FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CE Sabadell FC Over 0.5 goals (CE Sabadell FC's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AD Ceuta 0-1 CE Sabadell FC (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

CE Sabadell FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.18

ADC 8 of 8 (100%) · CES 7 of 8 (88%)93.8%

CE Sabadell FC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AD Ceuta: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · CE Sabadell FC: only games against sides at AD Ceuta's level · AD Ceuta: only games against sides at CE Sabadell FC's level

Double Chance: Draw or CE Sabadell FCIN CODES

1.34

ADC 7 of 8 (88%) · CES 7 of 8 (88%)87.5%

CE Sabadell FC unbeaten in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AD Ceuta failed to win 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · CE Sabadell FC: only games against sides at AD Ceuta's level · AD Ceuta: only games against sides at CE Sabadell FC's level

2nd Half - Double Chance: Draw or CE Sabadell FCPAGE ONLY

1.30

ADC 8 of 8 (100%) · CES 6 of 8 (75%)87.5%

CE Sabadell FC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AD Ceuta: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · on half-time scores · CE Sabadell FC: only games against sides at AD Ceuta's level · AD Ceuta: only games against sides at CE Sabadell FC's level

CE Sabadell FC win or both teams scoreIN CODES

1.33

ADC 4 of 8 (50%) · CES 8 of 8 (100%)75%

CE Sabadell FC: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AD Ceuta: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · CE Sabadell FC: only games against sides at AD Ceuta's level · AD Ceuta: only games against sides at CE Sabadell FC's level

AD CEUTA GOALS

AD Ceuta Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES

1.31

ADC 7 of 8 (88%) · CES 6 of 8 (75%)81.3%

AD Ceuta scored under 1.5 in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CE Sabadell FC conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · AD Ceuta: only games against sides at CE Sabadell FC's level · CE Sabadell FC: only games against sides at AD Ceuta's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsIN CODES

1.22

ADC 7 of 8 (88%) · CES 7 of 8 (88%)87.5%

AD Ceuta's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CE Sabadell FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · AD Ceuta: only games against sides at CE Sabadell FC's level · CE Sabadell FC: only games against sides at AD Ceuta's level

Left off the list: CE Sabadell FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); CE Sabadell FC Over 0.5 goals (CE Sabadell FC's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); CE Sabadell FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 12.4%

AD Ceuta goals →

CE Sabadell FC goals ↓

0-09%

1-07%

2-03%

3-01.0%

4-00.2%

5-00.0%

0-112%

1-112%

2-15%

3-12%

4-10.3%

5-10.1%

0-211%

1-29%

2-24%

3-21%

4-20.3%

5-20.1%

0-36%

1-35%

2-32%

3-30.7%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-42%

1-42%

2-40.9%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.7%

1-50.7%

2-50.3%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 8

AD CEUTALLLLLDWD0.62 PPG

CE SABADELL FCDDWWLWDD1.62 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AD CEUTA HOMExCE SABADELL FC AWAY

0.88SCORED A GAME1.002.25CONCEDED A GAME0.750%CLEAN SHEETS50%38%FAILED TO SCORE50%5.62CORNERS A GAME5.883.00CARDS A GAME3.001.02xG1.492.65xG AGAINST0.77

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

0.83POINTS A GAME2.00-0.83GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.40+1.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+5.01.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.06LEAGUE GAMES5

CE Sabadell FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

CE SABADELL FC 0:2 HANDICAP

–

373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

86%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

44%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

92%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

AD CEUTA OR DRAW

71%

NO · 80/85

CE SABADELL FC OR DRAW

50%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

AD CEUTAxCE SABADELL FC

5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.401.60CONCEDED A GAME1.002.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.4100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE40%6.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.29.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

AD Ceuta have scored in 70% of their games.

CE Sabadell FC have scored in 50% of their games.

AD Ceuta failed to score in 38% of their games.

CE Sabadell FC failed to score in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAleague tablecornerscards