AHALH

14:50Sat 10 Oct

NEO

Al-Hazm vs Neom SC

CLASS A

THE READ

Match details. Saudi Pro League, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off Sat 10 Oct, 14:50 Lagos time. The match is at Al Hazm Club Stadium, Ar Rass.

What's at stake. Al-Hazm sit 10th on 8 points after 7 games, three points behind Al Diriyah and level with Al Riyadh. A win would bring them level on points with Al Diriyah. Neom SC sit 6th on 15 points, level with Al-AHli Jeddah and three points clear of Al Kholood. A win would lift them above Al-AHli Jeddah.

Form. Al-Hazm's last ten are four wins, two draws and four losses, about 1.4 points a game. Their last five go L, W, D, D, L. Neom SC have six wins, one draw and three losses in their last ten, about 1.9 points a game. Their recent five read W, W, W, L, L.

The numbers. Al-Hazm average 1.2 goals for and 1.3 against a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. They average 7.4 shots, 2.7 on target, 4.4 corners and 2.7 cards a game, holding 45% of possession. Neom SC average 1.4 goals for and 0.8 against in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. They average 7.1 shots, 2.8 on target, 3.8 corners and 1.3 cards a game, holding 53% of possession.

Head to head. In the last five meetings Al-Hazm have one win, one draw and three losses. Two of those games went over 2.5 goals and both sides scored in three. In the last four meetings Al-Hazm won one, one was drawn and Neom SC won two. The last meeting on 28 Apr 2026 ended 1-1, with Al-Hazm 12 shots to 10, 44% possession and four yellow cards.

The case against. Al-Hazm's record still gives them about a 30% chance to win.

The read. Neom SC to win. A tight game. Neom SC are the stronger side on form and the table, and both teams' records favour them. Their goals for and against point to a tight game, with over 2.5 goals at just 35% and three of the last five meetings under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 3.5 Goals (Neom SC are a clear winner, no Unders); Neom SC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Al-Hazm 0-1 Neom SC (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Neom SC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.13

ALH 9 of 9 (100%) · NEO 8 of 9 (89%)93.1%

Neom SC: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Hazm: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 4 of 5 · Neom SC: only games against sides at Al-Hazm's level · Al-Hazm: only games against sides at Neom SC's level

Double Chance: Draw or Neom SCPAGE ONLY

1.16

ALH 6 of 9 (67%) · NEO 6 of 9 (67%)75.2%

Neom SC unbeaten in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Hazm failed to win 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · H2H 4 of 5 · Neom SC: only games against sides at Al-Hazm's level · Al-Hazm: only games against sides at Neom SC's level

Neom SC win or both teams scoreIN CODES

1.14

ALH 6 of 9 (67%) · NEO 6 of 9 (67%)75%

Neom SC: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Hazm: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · H2H 5 of 5 · Neom SC: only games against sides at Al-Hazm's level · Al-Hazm: only games against sides at Neom SC's level

Neom SC (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.36

ALH 5 of 8 (62%) · NEO 4 of 7 (57%)65.7%

Neom SC won 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Al-Hazm lost 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 60% · H2H 3 of 4 · Neom SC: only games against sides at Al-Hazm's level · Al-Hazm: only games against sides at Neom SC's level · won 4, refunded 1, lost 4

Neom SC or Draw (1UP)LEANHELD · the odds board 86%

1.16

ALH 3 of 5 (60%) · NEO 6 of 9 (67%)64.4%

Neom SC scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Hazm trailed or failed to win in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Neom SC: only games against sides at Al-Hazm's level · Al-Hazm: only games against sides at Neom SC's level

Neom SC 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

1.40

ALH 3 of 5 (60%) · NEO 5 of 9 (56%)57%

Neom SC scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Hazm trailed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Neom SC: only games against sides at Al-Hazm's level · Al-Hazm: only games against sides at Neom SC's level

AL-HAZM GOALS

Al-Hazm Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.34

ALH 6 of 9 (67%) · NEO 6 of 9 (67%)67.7%

Al-Hazm scored under 1.5 in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Neom SC conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · H2H 4 of 5 · Al-Hazm: only games against sides at Neom SC's level · Neom SC: only games against sides at Al-Hazm's level

NEOM SC GOALS

Neom SC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.14

ALH 6 of 9 (67%) · NEO 6 of 9 (67%)74.4%

Neom SC scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Hazm conceded in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · H2H 5 of 5 · Neom SC: only games against sides at Al-Hazm's level · Al-Hazm: only games against sides at Neom SC's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.35

ALH 6 of 9 (67%) · NEO 7 of 9 (78%)69.2%

Al-Hazm: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Neom SC: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 3 of 5 · on half-time scores · Al-Hazm: only games against sides at Neom SC's level · Neom SC: only games against sides at Al-Hazm's level

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsIN CODES

1.20

ALH 8 of 9 (89%) · NEO 6 of 9 (67%)77.8%

Al-Hazm's games: over 2.5 cards in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Neom SC's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Al-Hazm: only games against sides at Neom SC's level · Neom SC: only games against sides at Al-Hazm's level

Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 3.5 Goals (Neom SC are a clear winner - no Unders); Neom SC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Neom SC or draw and over 1.5 goals (the numbers (49%) and the records (62%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Neom SC or draw and under 3.5 goals (Neom SC are a clear winner - no Unders); 1X2 - 2UP: Neom SC (the numbers (41%) and the records (53%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Neom SC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (Neom SC are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 9.5%

Al-Hazm goals →

Neom SC goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-06%

3-02%

4-00.7%

5-00.2%

0-110%

1-113%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11.0%

5-10.2%

0-27%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-34%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-41%

2-40.8%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.4%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

AL-HAZMLWWWLLDDWL1.40 PPG

NEOM SCLDWWWLLWWW1.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AL-HAZM HOMExNEOM SC AWAY

1.20SCORED A GAME1.701.30CONCEDED A GAME1.0030%CLEAN SHEETS30%29%FAILED TO SCORE29%4.40CORNERS A GAME3.802.70CARDS A GAME1.301.02xG1.362.09xG AGAINST1.13

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW

–

85 OF 93

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.14POINTS A GAME2.00-0.29GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.00-2.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.21.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.87LEAGUE GAMES6

Neom SC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

NEOM SC 0:2 HANDICAP

–

373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

70%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

35%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

86%

OKAY · 85/90

AL-HAZM OR DRAW

52%

NO · 80/85

NEOM SC OR DRAW

66%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

AL-HAZMxNEOM SC

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.801.40CONCEDED A GAME1.002.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.860%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE20%4.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.810.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.4

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 5

AL-HAZM 1 · 20%DRAW 1NEOM SC 3 · 60%

3 of 5BOTH TEAMS SCORED

5 of 5OVER 1.5 GOALS

2 of 5OVER 2.5 GOALS

0 of 5OVER 3.5 GOALS

2024-10-05Al-Hazm 0 – 2 Neom SC

2025-02-24Al-Hazm 0 – 2 Neom SC

2025-09-23Al-Hazm 2 – 1 Neom SC

2026-01-04Al-Hazm 1 – 2 Neom SC

2026-04-28Al-Hazm 1 – 1 Neom SC

TRENDS

Al-Hazm have scored in 70% of their games.

Neom SC have scored in 70% of their games.

Al-Hazm kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Neom SC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards