Match details. Alanyaspor take on Erzurumspor FK in Super Lig Regular Season - 7 at GAIN Park Stadium, Antalya. Kick-off is set for Sat 10 Oct at 14:00 Lagos time with referee D. Celik in charge.
What's at stake. Alanyaspor are 5th on 11 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Kocaelispor and 1 point clear of Fenerbahçe. A win would take them above Kocaelispor. Erzurumspor FK sit 14th on 7 points after 6 games, level with Gençlerbirliği S.K. and 3 points clear of Konyaspor, needing a win to jump above Gençlerbirliği S.K..
Team news. Alanyaspor are without Maestro due to a thigh injury.
Form. The home side have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten matches, averaging 1.5 points a game. Their last five reads W D W L W. Erzurumspor FK have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, claiming 1.3 points a game with a recent record of W L W D L.
The numbers. Alanyaspor score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, keeping three clean sheets. They average 8.7 shots (3.1 on target), 5.7 corners and 1.6 cards with 41% possession. Erzurumspor FK score 0.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal, averaging 8.6 shots (3.0 on target), 3.1 corners and 1.3 cards with 43% possession.
Head to head. In their last five meetings, Alanyaspor have won two, drawn one and lost two. Three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. Over the last four, Alanyaspor won two, one was drawn and Erzurumspor FK won one. They last met on 11 May 2021, ending Alanyaspor 2-3 Erzurumspor FK, where the hosts had 13 shots to 10, 62% possession and five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their records point to a tight game. Their numbers place over 2.5 goals at 56%, and three of the last five meetings went over 2.5 goals.
The case against. Erzurumspor FK's record still gives them a 34% chance to win.
The read. Alanyaspor to win. Their goals for and against make Alanyaspor the likelier winners. They look like the stronger side on form and in the table for me.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Alanyaspor are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Alanyaspor are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Alanyaspor 1-0 Erzurumspor FK (11% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Alanyaspor or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.20
ALA 5 of 5 (100%) · ERZ 9 of 10 (90%)85.6%
Alanyaspor scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Erzurumspor FK trailed or failed to win in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Alanyaspor: only games against sides at Erzurumspor FK's level · Erzurumspor FK: only games against sides at Alanyaspor's level
Alanyaspor or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.28
ALA 9 of 10 (90%) · ERZ 4 of 6 (67%)84.1%
Alanyaspor: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Erzurumspor FK: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 4 of 5 · Alanyaspor: only games against sides at Erzurumspor FK's level · Erzurumspor FK: only games against sides at Alanyaspor's level
Alanyaspor or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALA 9 of 10 (90%) · ERZ 4 of 6 (67%)84.1%
Alanyaspor: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Erzurumspor FK: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 4 of 5 · Alanyaspor: only games against sides at Erzurumspor FK's level · Erzurumspor FK: only games against sides at Alanyaspor's level
Alanyaspor or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.13
ALA 6 of 10 (60%) · ERZ 6 of 6 (100%)78.8%
Alanyaspor: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Erzurumspor FK: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 5 · Alanyaspor: only games against sides at Erzurumspor FK's level · Erzurumspor FK: only games against sides at Alanyaspor's level
Alanyaspor (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
1.47
ALA 4 of 7 (57%) · ERZ 3 of 5 (60%)71.6%
Alanyaspor won 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Erzurumspor FK lost 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 59% · H2H 2 of 4 · Alanyaspor: only games against sides at Erzurumspor FK's level · Erzurumspor FK: only games against sides at Alanyaspor's level · won 4, refunded 4, lost 1
Alanyaspor 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.56
ALA 4 of 5 (80%) · ERZ 7 of 10 (70%)66.7%
Alanyaspor scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Erzurumspor FK trailed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Alanyaspor: only games against sides at Erzurumspor FK's level · Erzurumspor FK: only games against sides at Alanyaspor's level
Alanyaspor or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.49
ALA 8 of 10 (80%) · ERZ 3 of 6 (50%)66.6%
Alanyaspor: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Erzurumspor FK: the bet landed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 3 of 5 · Alanyaspor: only games against sides at Erzurumspor FK's level · Erzurumspor FK: only games against sides at Alanyaspor's level
Alanyaspor or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
1.73
ALA 4 of 10 (40%) · ERZ 4 of 6 (67%)60%
Alanyaspor: the bet landed in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Erzurumspor FK: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 53% · H2H 3 of 5 · Alanyaspor: only games against sides at Erzurumspor FK's level · Erzurumspor FK: only games against sides at Alanyaspor's level
Alanyaspor to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
2.08
ALA 4 of 10 (40%) · ERZ 3 of 6 (50%)52.6%
Alanyaspor won 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Erzurumspor FK lost 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 45% · H2H 2 of 5 · Alanyaspor: only games against sides at Erzurumspor FK's level · Erzurumspor FK: only games against sides at Alanyaspor's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.10
ALA 9 of 10 (90%) · ERZ 6 of 6 (100%)93.7%
Alanyaspor: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Erzurumspor FK: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 5 of 5 · Alanyaspor: only games against sides at Erzurumspor FK's level · Erzurumspor FK: only games against sides at Alanyaspor's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.47
ALA 7 of 10 (70%) · ERZ 4 of 6 (67%)73.7%
Alanyaspor: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Erzurumspor FK: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · H2H 4 of 5 · Alanyaspor: only games against sides at Erzurumspor FK's level · Erzurumspor FK: only games against sides at Alanyaspor's level
ALANYASPOR GOALS
Alanyaspor Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.30
ALA 9 of 10 (90%) · ERZ 4 of 6 (67%)82.8%
Alanyaspor scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Erzurumspor FK conceded in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 4 of 5 · Alanyaspor: only games against sides at Erzurumspor FK's level · Erzurumspor FK: only games against sides at Alanyaspor's level
ERZURUMSPOR FK GOALS
Erzurumspor FK Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.24
ALA 6 of 6 (100%) · ERZ 6 of 10 (60%)71.3%
Erzurumspor FK scored under 1.5 in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Alanyaspor conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 5 · Erzurumspor FK: only games against sides at Alanyaspor's level · Alanyaspor: only games against sides at Erzurumspor FK's level
HALVES
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.14
ALA 8 of 10 (80%) · ERZ 6 of 6 (100%)82.5%
Alanyaspor: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Erzurumspor FK: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 3 of 5 · on half-time scores · Alanyaspor: only games against sides at Erzurumspor FK's level · Erzurumspor FK: only games against sides at Alanyaspor's level
Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.33
ALA 7 of 10 (70%) · ERZ 4 of 6 (67%)66.3%
Alanyaspor: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Erzurumspor FK: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · H2H 3 of 5 · on half-time scores · Alanyaspor: only games against sides at Erzurumspor FK's level · Erzurumspor FK: only games against sides at Alanyaspor's level
CARDS
Over 1.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALA 8 of 10 (80%) · ERZ 4 of 6 (67%)73.3%
Alanyaspor's games: over 1.5 cards in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Erzurumspor FK's games: over 1.5 cards in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · Alanyaspor: only games against sides at Erzurumspor FK's level · Erzurumspor FK: only games against sides at Alanyaspor's level
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (Alanyaspor are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Alanyaspor are a clear winner - no Unders)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–010.6%
Alanyaspor goals →
Erzurumspor FK goals ↓
0-08%
1-011%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
ALANYASPORLDWLDWLWDW1.50 PPG
ERZURUMSPOR FKWDDDLLDWLW1.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ALANYASPOR HOMExERZURUMSPOR FK AWAY
1.40SCORED A GAME0.801.20CONCEDED A GAME1.4030%CLEAN SHEETS30%0%FAILED TO SCORE50%5.70CORNERS A GAME3.101.60CARDS A GAME1.301.24xG0.671.28xG AGAINST1.59
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.83POINTS A GAME1.17+0.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.33-1.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.46LEAGUE GAMES6
Alanyaspor: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
64%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
48%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
97%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
ALANYASPOR OR DRAW
90%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
ERZURUMSPOR FK OR DRAW
43%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
ALANYASPORxERZURUMSPOR FK
5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME0.601.00CONCEDED A GAME1.602.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.260%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.