Lyon vs Nice
Match details. Lyon face Nice in Ligue 1, Regular Season - 7 at Groupama Stadium, Lyon. Kick-off is set for Sun 18 Oct at 19:45 Lagos time. Francois Letexier takes charge of this one.
What's at stake. Lyon sit 5th on 11 points after 6 games, level on points with Paris FC and 2 points behind Rennes. A win would take them above Rennes. Nice are 11th on 8 points after 6 games, level with Lorient and 1 point clear of Strasbourg. A win lifts them above Lorient.
Team news. Lyon are missing L. Openda with a leg injury, alongside M. Ouedraogo and N. Tagliafico who both have knee injuries. Nice have issues too. They are without L. Abergel, A. Mendy and M. Sanson with knee injuries, M. Bombito with a leg injury, and A. Abdi with a muscle injury.
Form. Lyon have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, taking 1.8 points a game. Their last five runs W L W W D. Nice have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, earning 1.3 points a game. Their recent form reads W W L D L.
The numbers. At home, Lyon score 2.4 and concede 1.2 a game over their last five, keeping one clean sheet. They average 11.0 shots (5.1 on target), 4.3 corners and 1.5 cards with 52% possession. Nice score one and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets but five games without a goal. They average 11.7 shots (3.9 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.5 cards with 55% of the ball.
Head to head. Over the last ten meetings, Lyon won five, drawn two and lost three. Four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. Lyon won three of the last four. When they last met on 15 Feb 2026, Lyon won 2-0 with 9 shots to 10, 57% of the ball and four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. Their goals for and against point to an open game, but their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Nice's record still gives them 23% to win. For me, not everything agrees on goals, as their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. Lyon to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Lyon the likelier winners, as they are the stronger side on form and the table, and the meetings favour Lyon. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%, while six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Lyon or Draw at 1.25, 83% on the records (Lyon unbeaten in 5 of 6; Nice failed to win 6 of 9). Backup: 2nd Half - Double Chance: Lyon or Draw at 1.25. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Lyon are a clear winner, no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Lyon or draw and under 3.5 goals (Lyon are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Lyon 1-0 Nice (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).