Juventus vs Lazio
Match details. Serie A, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Allianz Stadium, Turin. The referee is Davide Massa.
What's at stake. Juventus are 7th on 11 points after 6 games, 1 point behind AC Milan, level on points with Como. A win would take them above AC Milan. Lazio are 3rd on 16 points after 6 games, 1 point behind AS Roma, 3 points clear of Frosinone. A win would take them above AS Roma.
Team news. Juventus are without J. Ekhator (muscle injury), K. Grabara (knee injury), M. Locatelli (knee injury), A. Milik (inactive), K. Thuram (knee injury), K. Yildiz (foot injury). Lazio are without A. Furlanetto (knee injury), A. Gudmundsson (shoulder injury), M. Cancellieri (leg injury), F. Gatto (injury), A. Marusic (muscle injury), N. Rovella (calf injury).
Form. Juventus have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W L. Lazio have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W W.
The numbers. Juventus score two and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Juventus average 16.5 shots (6.5 on target), 7.1 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 59% of the ball. Lazio score 1.3 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Lazio average 12.9 shots (4.3 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Juventus have won four, drawn two and lost four. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Juventus won one, two were drawn and Lazio won one. The last time they met, on 8 Feb 2026, it finished Juventus 2-2 Lazio: Juventus had 34 shots to 9, 63% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Juventus the likelier winners, but both teams' records favour Lazio.
The case against. Lazio's record still gives them 46% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%. Not everything agrees on goals: six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. Juventus or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Their goals for and against make Juventus the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Lazio.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 2.5 Cards (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Juventus 2-1 Lazio (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).