MCMAL

17:30Sun 18 Oct

REA

Malaga CF vs Real Sociedad

CLASS A

THE READ

Match details. LaLiga, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time. It is played at La Rosaleda, Malaga. The referee is Luis Bestard Servera.

What's at stake. Malaga CF are 20th on 4 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Valencia. A win would take them above Valencia. Real Sociedad are 6th on 13 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Sevilla, 2 points clear of Alaves. A win would take them above Sevilla.

Team news. Malaga CF are without J. Cruz (injury), M. Diarra (calf injury), J. Lobete (knee injury), D. Murillo (knee injury), A. Ochoa (knee injury), J. Cruz (injury). Real Sociedad are without L. Beitia (ankle injury), P. Marin (red card), A. Odriozola (knee injury), L. Beitia (ankle injury), P. Marin (red card), A. Odriozola (knee injury).

Form. Malaga CF have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D D. Real Sociedad have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L L.

The numbers. Malaga CF score 0.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Malaga CF average 8.8 shots (2.9 on target), 5.7 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Real Sociedad score 1.6 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Real Sociedad average 11.0 shots (4.1 on target), 7.0 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Malaga CF have won four, drawn three and lost three. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Malaga CF won two, one was drawn and Real Sociedad won one. The last time they met, on 7 Jan 2024, it finished Malaga CF 0-1 Real Sociedad: Malaga CF had 9 shots to 17, 39% of the ball, four yellow cards.

The case against. Malaga CF's record still gives them 22% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%. Not everything agrees on goals: eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The read. Real Sociedad to win. An open game. Real Sociedad are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Real Sociedad; the meetings favour Real Sociedad.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Malaga CF Under 1.5 goals (Real Sociedad's own games don't back it (3 of 8)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Over 4.5 cards (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Malaga CF 1-2 Real Sociedad (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Real Sociedad or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MAL 6 of 8 (75%) · REA 7 of 8 (88%)86.7%

Real Sociedad: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Malaga CF: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 6 of 6 · Real Sociedad: only games against sides at Malaga CF's level · Malaga CF: only games against sides at Real Sociedad's level

Double Chance: Draw or Real SociedadIN CODES

1.35

MAL 5 of 8 (62%) · REA 8 of 8 (100%)85.2%

Real Sociedad unbeaten in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Malaga CF failed to win 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 4 of 6 · Real Sociedad: only games against sides at Malaga CF's level · Malaga CF: only games against sides at Real Sociedad's level

Real Sociedad or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.26

MAL 4 of 5 (80%) · REA 5 of 8 (62%)80.8%

Real Sociedad scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Malaga CF trailed or failed to win in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Real Sociedad: only games against sides at Malaga CF's level · Malaga CF: only games against sides at Real Sociedad's level

Real Sociedad win or both teams scoreIN CODES

1.19

MAL 5 of 8 (62%) · REA 7 of 8 (88%)80.2%

Real Sociedad: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Malaga CF: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · Real Sociedad: only games against sides at Malaga CF's level · Malaga CF: only games against sides at Real Sociedad's level

Real Sociedad (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY

1.66

MAL 4 of 7 (57%) · REA 4 of 5 (80%)79.5%

Real Sociedad won 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Malaga CF lost 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 2 of 4 · Real Sociedad: only games against sides at Malaga CF's level · won 3, refunded 5, lost 2

Real Sociedad or draw and over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.63

MAL 6 of 8 (75%) · REA 4 of 8 (50%)67.2%

Malaga CF: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Real Sociedad: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · H2H 3 of 6 · Malaga CF: only games against sides at Real Sociedad's level · Real Sociedad: only games against sides at Malaga CF's level

Real Sociedad 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

1.56

MAL 3 of 5 (60%) · REA 4 of 8 (50%)65.8%

Real Sociedad scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Malaga CF trailed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Real Sociedad: only games against sides at Malaga CF's level · Malaga CF: only games against sides at Real Sociedad's level

Real Sociedad or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.37

MAL 6 of 8 (75%) · REA 4 of 8 (50%)54.7%

Real Sociedad: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Malaga CF: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · H2H 3 of 6 · Real Sociedad: only games against sides at Malaga CF's level · Malaga CF: only games against sides at Real Sociedad's level

1X2 - 2UP: Real SociedadSETTLEDPAGE ONLY

2.04

MAL 3 of 5 (60%) · REA 4 of 8 (50%)53.3%

Real Sociedad scored first 3 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 3 · led by 2 or won in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Malaga CF trailed by 2 or lost in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Real Sociedad: only games against sides at Malaga CF's level · Malaga CF: only games against sides at Real Sociedad's level · rule 2: the meetings back Real Sociedad: in the last 10 meetings, Malaga CF won 4, Real Sociedad

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.19

MAL 6 of 8 (75%) · REA 6 of 8 (75%)74%

Malaga CF: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Real Sociedad: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · Malaga CF: only games against sides at Real Sociedad's level · Real Sociedad: only games against sides at Malaga CF's level

REAL SOCIEDAD GOALS

Real Sociedad Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.20

MAL 5 of 8 (62%) · REA 7 of 8 (88%)81.6%

Real Sociedad scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Malaga CF conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · Real Sociedad: only games against sides at Malaga CF's level · Malaga CF: only games against sides at Real Sociedad's level

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.19

MAL 6 of 8 (75%) · REA 7 of 8 (88%)81.8%

Malaga CF: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Real Sociedad: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Malaga CF: only games against sides at Real Sociedad's level · Real Sociedad: only games against sides at Malaga CF's level

Left off the list: Malaga CF Under 1.5 goals (Real Sociedad's own games don't back it (3 of 8)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Over 4.5 cards (the numbers (58%) and the records (81%) are 24 points apart, and nothing settles it); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 8.9%

Malaga CF goals →

Real Sociedad goals ↓

0-08%

1-08%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.5%

5-00.1%

0-110%

1-113%

2-17%

3-13%

4-10.8%

5-10.2%

0-28%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.1%

0-34%

1-34%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-41%

2-40.8%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.4%

1-50.4%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

MALAGA CFDWLDLDDLLD0.80 PPG

REAL SOCIEDADLLWDWLLWWD1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

MALAGA CF HOMExREAL SOCIEDAD AWAY

0.60SCORED A GAME1.401.40CONCEDED A GAME1.8020%CLEAN SHEETS10%50%FAILED TO SCORE38%5.70CORNERS A GAME7.002.90CARDS A GAME2.600.83xG1.231.60xG AGAINST1.71

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

0.50POINTS A GAME1.86-1.12GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.29-2.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-3.00.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.08LEAGUE GAMES7

Real Sociedad: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

REAL SOCIEDAD 0:2 HANDICAP

–

373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

82%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

56%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

81%

NO · 85/90

MALAGA CF OR DRAW

57%

NO · 80/85

REAL SOCIEDAD OR DRAW

81%

OKAY · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

MALAGA CFxREAL SOCIEDAD

5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME1.801.20CONCEDED A GAME1.801.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE60%5.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.610.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES13.6

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

MALAGA CF 4 · 40%DRAW 3REAL SOCIEDAD 3 · 30%

4 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

7 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

2 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

2 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2014-02-17Malaga CF 0 – 1 Real Sociedad

2014-11-01Malaga CF 1 – 0 Real Sociedad

2015-04-04Malaga CF 1 – 1 Real Sociedad

2015-10-03Malaga CF 3 – 1 Real Sociedad

2016-02-27Malaga CF 1 – 1 Real Sociedad

2017-01-16Malaga CF 0 – 2 Real Sociedad

2017-05-14Malaga CF 2 – 2 Real Sociedad

2017-12-10Malaga CF 2 – 0 Real Sociedad

TEAM NEWS

MALAGA CF

Out: J. Cruz (Injury), M. Diarra (Calf Injury), J. Lobete (Knee Injury), D. Murillo (Knee Injury), A. Ochoa (Knee Injury), J. Cruz (Injury)

REAL SOCIEDAD

Out: L. Beitia (Ankle Injury), P. Marin (Red Card), A. Odriozola (Knee Injury), L. Beitia (Ankle Injury), P. Marin (Red Card), A. Odriozola (Knee Injury)

TRENDS

Malaga CF have scored in 50% of their games.

Real Sociedad have scored in 70% of their games.

Malaga CF kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Real Sociedad kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards