INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - UEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE

BGBOD

20:00Wed 14 Oct

BOR

Bodoe/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund

CLASS A

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. It's De1, League Stage - 2. Kick-off is Wed 14 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. The game is at Aspmyra Stadion, Hakata. Urs Schnyder is the referee.

What's at stake. Bodoe/Glimt sit 36th on 0 points after 1 game, level with Slovan Bratislava. A win would lift them above Slovan Bratislava. Borussia Dortmund are 14th on 3 points after 1 game, level with Atletico Madrid and Liverpool. A win would take them above Atletico Madrid.

Team news. Bodoe/Glimt are missing O. L. Bjortuft (red card), H. Evjen (knee injury), A. Mikkelsen (groin injury), M. Riisnaes (knee injury), I. Sjong (injury) and J. Kitolano (knee injury). Borussia Dortmund are without E. Can (knee injury), G. Konstantelias (knee injury), J. Lerma (muscle injury) and N. Schlotterbeck (rest).

Form. Bodoe/Glimt have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five are W W L W L. Borussia Dortmund have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five are D W W W W. In this competition Dortmund have gone W.

The numbers. Bodoe/Glimt score three and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. They average 15.9 shots (6.2 on target), 5.6 corners and 1.3 cards a game, holding 50% of the ball. Borussia Dortmund score 2.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. They average 17.2 shots (6.4 on target), 7.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.

Head to head. The last meeting was on 10 Dec 2025 and ended 2-2. Bodoe/Glimt had seven shots to Dortmund's 22, 37% of the ball and one yellow card.

The case against. Bodoe/Glimt's record still gives them 42% to win.

The read. Borussia Dortmund or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Both teams' records favour Borussia Dortmund. Their xG points to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 82%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Bodoe/Glimt 2-2 Borussia Dortmund (7% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Borussia Dortmund or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.23

BOD 5 of 5 (100%) · BOR 5 of 5 (100%)69%

Borussia Dortmund scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 5 away · Bodoe/Glimt trailed or failed to win in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues)

Borussia Dortmund 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

1.44

BOD 5 of 5 (100%) · BOR 5 of 5 (100%)69%

Borussia Dortmund scored first 4 of last 5, led in 5 · led in 5 of 5 away · Bodoe/Glimt trailed in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues)

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.13

BOD 10 of 10 (100%) · BOR 5 of 5 (100%)98.3%

Bodoe/Glimt: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Borussia Dortmund: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores

2nd Half - Borussia Dortmund Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.44

BOD 5 of 5 (100%) · BOR 7 of 10 (70%)83.3%

Borussia Dortmund: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Bodoe/Glimt: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 1.5PAGE ONLY

1.59

BOD 8 of 10 (80%) · BOR 3 of 5 (60%)70%

Bodoe/Glimt: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Borussia Dortmund: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–2 7.3%

Bodoe/Glimt goals →

Borussia Dortmund goals ↓

0-02%

1-03%

2-03%

3-02%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-13%

1-17%

2-17%

3-15%

4-12%

5-11.0%

0-24%

1-27%

2-27%

3-25%

4-23%

5-21%

0-33%

1-35%

2-35%

3-34%

4-32%

5-30.7%

0-41%

1-43%

2-43%

3-42%

4-41.0%

5-40.4%

0-50.6%

1-51%

2-51%

3-50.8%

4-50.4%

5-50.2%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

BODOE/GLIMTWWWWWLWLWW2.40 PPG

BORUSSIA DORTMUNDWWLWWWWWWD2.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BODOE/GLIMT HOMExBORUSSIA DORTMUND AWAY

3.00SCORED A GAME2.501.60CONCEDED A GAME1.0020%CLEAN SHEETS50%20%FAILED TO SCORE0%5.60CORNERS A GAME7.001.30CARDS A GAME1.88

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.73POINTS A GAME2.33+1.73GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.17+11.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.02.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.611LEAGUE GAMES6

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

88%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

68%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

84%

NO · 85/90

BODOE/GLIMT OR DRAW

73%

NO · 80/85

BORUSSIA DORTMUND OR DRAW

34%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

BODOE/GLIMTxBORUSSIA DORTMUND

5GAMES52.60SCORED A GAME2.201.60CONCEDED A GAME0.804.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%100%BOTH SCORE40%2.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.49.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.4

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 1

BODOE/GLIMT 0 · 0%DRAW 1BORUSSIA DORTMUND 0 · 0%

2025-12-10Bodoe/Glimt 2 – 2 Borussia Dortmund

TEAM NEWS

BODOE/GLIMT

Out: O. L. Bjortuft (Red Card), H. Evjen (Knee Injury), A. Mikkelsen (Groin Injury), M. Riisnaes (Knee Injury), I. Sjong (Injury), J. Kitolano (Knee Injury)

BORUSSIA DORTMUND

Out: E. Can (Knee Injury), G. Konstantelias (Knee Injury), J. Lerma (Muscle Injury), N. Schlotterbeck (Rest), E. Can (Knee Injury), G. Konstantelias (Knee Injury)

TRENDS

Bodoe/Glimt have scored in 90% of their games.

Borussia Dortmund have scored in 100% of their games.

Bodoe/Glimt kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Borussia Dortmund kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards