Match details. UEFA Champions League, League Stage - 2. Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It's at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan. Rohit Saggi is the referee.
What's at stake. Inter sit 25th on 0 points after 1 game, level on points with Club Brugge KV and Atletico Madrid; a win would lift them above Club Brugge KV. Club Brugge are 24th on 0 points after 1 game, level on points with Slavia Praha and Inter; a win would move them above Slavia Praha.
Team news. Inter are missing C. Jones (thigh injury) and J. Stones (injury). Club Brugge are without J. Ordonez (foot injury).
Form. Inter have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game, with a recent run of W D W L W. In this competition they have gone L. Club Brugge have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game, with a recent run of W W W L W, and have also gone L in this competition.
The numbers. Inter score 3.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet, averaging 20.9 shots (6.9 on target), 6.1 corners, 1.6 cards and 62% possession. Club Brugge score 2.6 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets, averaging 18.2 shots (6.1 on target), 7.9 corners, 1.9 cards and 63% possession.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Inter the likelier winners, but Club Brugge are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Inter.
The case against. Club Brugge's record still gives them 42% to win.
The read. Inter to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Inter the likelier winners; Club Brugge are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Inter. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 79%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.12, 80% on the records (Inter: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Club Brugge: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10). Backup: Inter or Over 2.5 Goals at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Inter are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Inter are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Inter 2-1 Club Brugge (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).