FSFCS

16:00Sun 11 Oct

CEC

FC Santa Coloma vs CE Casa de Portugal

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Primera Divisio, Regular Season - 4. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadi Comunal, Andorra la Vella.

What's at stake. FC Santa Coloma are 1st on 9 points after 3 games, 2 points clear of Inter Club d'Escaldes. CE Casa de Portugal are 8th on 1 point after 3 games, 1 point behind Penya Encarnada, level on points with Carroi. A win would take them above Penya Encarnada.

Form. FC Santa Coloma have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L. CE Casa de Portugal have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W W.

The numbers. FC Santa Coloma score two and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. FC Santa Coloma average 14.2 shots (5.0 on target), 10.0 corners and 2.2 cards a game. CE Casa de Portugal score 2.3 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets. CE Casa de Portugal average 10.8 shots (3.0 on target), 4.5 corners and 3.2 cards a game.

The case against. CE Casa de Portugal's record still gives them 52% to win.

The read. FC Santa Coloma to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make CE Casa de Portugal the likelier winners; both teams' records favour CE Casa de Portugal. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (FC Santa Coloma are a clear winner, no Unders); FC Santa Coloma Over 0.5 Goals (CE Casa de Portugal's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 5.5 Goals (FC Santa Coloma are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: FC Santa Coloma 2-1 CE Casa de Portugal (7% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

FC Santa Coloma or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCS 4 of 5 (80%) · CEC 4 of 6 (67%)75.4%

FC Santa Coloma: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CE Casa de Portugal: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · FC Santa Coloma: only games against sides at CE Casa de Portugal's level

FC Santa Coloma or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCS 3 of 5 (60%) · CEC 3 of 6 (50%)61.3%

FC Santa Coloma: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CE Casa de Portugal: the bet landed in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 60% · FC Santa Coloma: only games against sides at CE Casa de Portugal's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCS 5 of 5 (100%) · CEC 6 of 6 (100%)93.8%

FC Santa Coloma: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CE Casa de Portugal: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 100% · FC Santa Coloma: only games against sides at CE Casa de Portugal's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCS 4 of 5 (80%) · CEC 4 of 6 (67%)62.9%

FC Santa Coloma: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CE Casa de Portugal: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · FC Santa Coloma: only games against sides at CE Casa de Portugal's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (FC Santa Coloma are a clear winner - no Unders); FC Santa Coloma Over 0.5 Goals (CE Casa de Portugal's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 5.5 Goals (FC Santa Coloma are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 7%

FC Santa Coloma goals →

CE Casa de Portugal goals ↓

0-05%

1-05%

2-04%

3-02%

4-00.6%

5-00.2%

0-17%

1-111%

2-17%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-27%

1-29%

2-26%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-34%

1-36%

2-34%

3-32%

4-30.6%

5-30.2%

0-42%

1-43%

2-42%

3-40.8%

4-40.3%

5-40.1%

0-50.7%

1-50.9%

2-50.6%

3-50.3%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

FC SANTA COLOMAWWWLLWWLLL1.50 PPG

CE CASA DE PORTUGALLLDWWWWDWW2.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FC SANTA COLOMA HOMExCE CASA DE PORTUGAL AWAY

4.00SCORED A GAME1.000.33CONCEDED A GAME2.3340%CLEAN SHEETS50%0%FAILED TO SCORE33%10.00CORNERS A GAME4.502.22CARDS A GAME3.25

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

649 OF 684

NO PRICE YET

The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

TRENDS

FC Santa Coloma have scored in 80% of their games.

CE Casa de Portugal have scored in 90% of their games.

FC Santa Coloma kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

CE Casa de Portugal kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards