Match details. Indian Super League, Regular Season - 1. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Churchill Brothers SC are 7th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with Kerala Blasters, level on points with Mumbai City. A win would take them above Kerala Blasters. Mumbai City are 8th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with Churchill Brothers, level on points with NorthEast United. A win would take them above Churchill Brothers.
Form. Churchill Brothers SC have won four, drawn six and lost none of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W W. Mumbai City have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D L. In this competition Mumbai City have gone W W L D L D.
The numbers. Churchill Brothers SC score 2.4 and concede 1.3 a game in their last seven at home, with no clean sheets. Mumbai City score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last seven away, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Mumbai City average 12.5 shots (4.8 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 11 Apr 2023, it finished Churchill Brothers SC 1-2 Mumbai City.
The case against. Churchill Brothers SC's record still gives them 29% to win.
The read. Mumbai City or the draw. Churchill Brothers SC are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Churchill Brothers SC 1-1 Mumbai City (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).