Match details. China League 1, Regular Season - 26. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time. It is played at Dalian Sports Center Stadium.
What's at stake. Dalian Kun City are 11th on 29 points after 25 games, level on points with Ningbo Professional, 2 points clear of Suzhou Dongwu. A win would take them above Ningbo Professional. Changchun Yatai are 9th on 30 points after 25 games, 3 points behind Wuxi Wugou, 1 point clear of Ningbo Professional. A win would take them level on points with Wuxi Wugou.
Form. Dalian Kun City have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D D. In this competition Dalian Kun City have gone L L W D D W. Changchun Yatai have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W W. In this competition Changchun Yatai have gone D L D W W L.
The numbers. Dalian Kun City score 1.1 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Changchun Yatai score 0.6 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 13 Jun 2026, it finished Dalian Kun City 1-2 Changchun Yatai.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Changchun Yatai are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Dalian Kun City. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Dalian Kun City 1-1 Changchun Yatai (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).