Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 4. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Al Hidd are 6th on 4 points after 3 games, 1 point behind Muharraq, level on points with Al Ahli. A win would take them above Muharraq. Al Ittifaq BHR are 3rd on 6 points after 3 games, 2 points behind Al Riffa, 1 point clear of Sitra. A win would take them above Al Riffa.
Form. Al Hidd have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W W. Al Ittifaq BHR have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W.
The numbers. Al Hidd score 0.7 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and five games without a goal. Al Hidd average 8.4 shots (2.8 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Al Ittifaq BHR score 2.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Al Ittifaq BHR average 10.7 shots (3.3 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 14 Nov 2021, it finished Al Hidd 6-0 Al Ittifaq BHR.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 32% against the records' 63%.
The read. No firm call: Al Ittifaq BHR are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Al Ittifaq BHR are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Al Ittifaq BHR. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Al Ittifaq BHR Over 0.5 goals (Al Hidd's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Al Hidd 1-1 Al Ittifaq BHR (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).