Af Elbasani vs FK Vora
FK Vora scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · Af Elbasani conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · FK Vora: only games in Af Elbasani's division · Af Elbasani: only games in FK Vora's division
Match details. Kategoria Superiore. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time.
Form. Af Elbasani have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D D. FK Vora have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L W.
The numbers. Af Elbasani score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Af Elbasani average 10.5 shots (3.5 on target), 2.8 corners and 2.3 cards a game. FK Vora score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. FK Vora average 11.2 shots (4.6 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
The case against. FK Vora's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. Af Elbasani to win. An open game. Af Elbasani are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.22, 89% on the records (Af Elbasani: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 8; FK Vora: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Af Elbasani or Both Teams Score at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Af Elbasani are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Af Elbasani are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Af Elbasani 2-1 FK Vora (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).